Roundtable Weekly
What the Midterm Elections Mean for Commercial Real Estate
November 6, 2026

This week, Democrats won control of the House and Senate in Tuesday’s midterm elections. The shift in congressional leadership will put tax policy, housing affordability, and energy policy front and center for the 120th Congress. The first test comes Monday, when the Senate is expected to take a procedural vote on bipartisan permitting reform.

State of Play

  • Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) is in line to become House Speaker, and Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) is expected to return as Senate majority leader.
  • Sen. Schumer called the results a “generational remake of the Senate majority” and told reporters the first thing he would do is “reduce people's costs and work the legislative process so it does.” (Commercial Observer, Nov. 5)
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) told Republican colleagues Wednesday that he would not seek a leadership post in the next Congress. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) and House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan (R-OH) are both running for minority leader. (Axios, Nov. 4)
  • Control of both chambers gives Democrats greater leverage over government funding and oversight, while President Trump’s veto power limits prospects for major policy reversals.  (Cushman&Wakefield, Nov. 4)
  • “The Roundtable looks forward to working with lawmakers in both parties to continue policy work to expand housing supply, modernize permitting, and support long-term investment in communities across the country,” said Jeffrey D. DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable (RER).

Tax Policy

  • Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) and Rep. Richard Neal (D-MA) are expected to return as chairs of Senate Finance and House Ways and Means, respectively.  (PoliticoPro, Nov. 4)
  • Both outlined their priorities this week, with Sen. Wyden announcing plans to raise taxes on the wealthiest households and corporations, reassert congressional authority over trade, and expand oversight. Rep. Neal emphasized affordability for working families and rebuilding relationships with U.S. trading partners. (The Hill, Nov. 5)
  • Sen. Wyden has previously released comprehensive proposals to tax unrealized gains, fundamentally reform the taxation of partnerships, and recharacterize all carried interest as ordinary income.
  • Rep. Neal is scheduled to speak at next week’s Fall Roundtable Meeting.
  • Issues to watch include housing supply incentives; partnership tax reform; tax increases on wealth, capital gains, and carried interest; potential new tax burdens on data centers and single-family rental homes; and retaliatory tax measures affecting foreign investment.

Energy Policy

  • Democrats are repositioning clean energy as one part of a broader focus on affordability and the economy. (Axios, Nov. 6)
  • Energy-related issues to watch: Sen. Wyden has said he plans to introduce legislation to restore clean energy tax credits. The broader debate could include efforts to restore Inflation Reduction Act incentives for clean electricity production and investment credits, building efficiency incentives, and credits for electric vehicles and charging equipment. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 3 | Axios, Nov. 6)
  • Data centers: Democrats are weighing stronger federal ratepayer protections, including proposals to require large facilities to pay for grid upgrades or secure their own power. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 5)
  • The bipartisan Ratepayer Protection Act (H.R. 9340), which passed the House 417–3 before stalling in the Senate, could serve as a starting point for stronger federal enforcement. Some Democrats also support temporary construction moratoriums. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 4)
  • Committee leadership: Reps. Jared Huffman (D-CA) and Frank Pallone (D-NJ) are expected to lead House Natural Resources and Energy and Commerce, respectively. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-NM) is in line to chair Senate Energy and Natural Resources, and Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR) could lead Environment and Public Works.  (PoliticoPro, Nov. 3)
  • Appropriations leadership: Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) is in line to chair Senate Appropriations and could also lead its Energy and Water Development Subcommittee. Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) is expected to become the full committee’s top Republican and could hold the same role on the Interior and Environment Subcommittee. Those assignments would give both senators a central role in funding negotiations for federal energy and environmental programs. (Bloomberg, Nov. 4)

Permitting Reform

  • The Senate is scheduled to vote Monday, Nov. 9, on whether to advance the bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 (S. 5653). The bill would revise federal environmental reviews and streamline permitting for energy and infrastructure projects, including electric transmission. It needs 60 votes to advance. (Axios | PoliticoPro,  Nov. 6)
  • The election has complicated the bill’s path. Rep. Jeffries raised concerns through a spokesperson, saying that the bill needs more input from House Democrats. Rep. Huffman has called for waiting until the next Congress. Sen. Heinrich and Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) are pressing for action this year, and Senate negotiators have been working on an amendment to address House concerns. (Politico, Nov. 5 | Punchbowl News, Nov. 6)
  • The Trump administration said Friday that the Pentagon would advance nine new onshore wind projects that had been delayed by security reviews and are the subject of ongoing litigation. The move comes as the White House seeks support for bipartisan permitting reform ahead of the Senate’s Nov. 9 procedural vote. (Politico, Nov. 6)

Capital & Credit and Housing

  • Senate Banking: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) is the leading contender to chair the committee in the next Congress. Both Senate Banking and House Financial Services are expected to step up oversight of financial institutions, consumer lending practices, and the administration’s approach to financial regulation. (Time | Reuters, Nov. 5)
  • House Financial Services: Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA) formally launched her bid Friday to return as chair, a day after Rep. Sean Casten (D-IL) entered the race. Current Chair Rep. French Hill (R-AR) is expected to become the committee’s ranking member. On the Housing and Insurance Subcommittee, Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-MO) is seeking the chair, while Rep. Mike Flood (R-NE) is expected to serve as ranking member. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 5 | Reuters, Nov. 6)
  • Housing: Outlining her agenda, Rep. Waters called for expanding affordable housing programs, reforming mortgage finance, and passing legislation to “AI proof'” the financial system and economy. (Rep. Waters letter, Nov. 6)
  • As federal agencies implement the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, lawmakers could consider follow-up legislation in the next Congress. (Commercial Observer, Nov. 5 | PoliticoPro, Nov. 6)

What’s Next

  • The Senate’s first order of business after the election is a Nov. 9 procedural vote that will test whether the bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act (S. 5653) can move before year-end. (Punchbowl News, Nov. 6)

If government funding or surface transportation legislation carries over into the new Congress, either could provide an opening for energy and climate measures. If the highway bill is not addressed in the lame duck, it will be the biggest transportation policy issue for Congress next year. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 3 | Punchbowl News, Nov. 4)