Industry Leaders Convene for 2025 State of the Industry Meeting
Trump’s First 100 Days: Top Commercial Real Estate Policies to Watch
Momentum Grows for In-Person Work Across Public and Private Sectors
Roundtable Weekly
January 24, 2025
Industry Leaders Convene for 2025 State of the Industry Meeting

This week, The Real Estate Roundtable's (RER) State of the Industry meeting brought together policymakers, industry leaders, and experts to discuss key policy issues shaping debates in Washington and impacting the economy and commercial real estate industry.

2025 State of the Industry Meeting

  • Roundtable Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head, Blackstone Real Estate) opened the meeting by welcoming attendees, setting the stage for discussions on industry priorities and advocacy opportunities, and highlighting key member priorities for the year ahead.
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer highlighted the organization’s unique strengths in policy advocacy, which is known for its trusted, fact-based, and data-driven approach. He also acknowledged members for participating in the annual policy issues survey, which revealed widespread concern about tariffs and strong support for priorities like tax reform, housing incentives, reducing regulatory barriers, energy infrastructure, insurance, and cybersecurity resiliency.

Meeting Speakers

  • Geopolitical expert John Sitilides (Principal, Trilogy Advisors LLC; National Security Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Research Institute) gave a presentation on “Washington & the World: The New Geopolitics of Great Power Competition” and discussed the current geopolitical dynamics and vulnerabilities affecting global commerce and energy.
  • Rep. Darin LaHood (R-IL) (Member, House Committees on Ways and Means; and  Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence) discussed the U.S.-China economic relationship, extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) tax cuts, housing incentives such as the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC), opportunity zones, and property conversions.
  • Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-NY) (Member,House Committee on Ways and Means) stressed the need for bipartisanship to address housing shortages, restore state and local tax (SALT) deductions, advance immigration reform, and revitalize cities.
  • Robert Costa (Chief Election & Campaign Correspondent, CBS News) shared his insight on the current political environment and his experiences with the past and current administrations.
  • Rep. French Hill (R-AR) (Chair of the House Financial Services Committee) spoke to RER’s Joint Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee on his policy priorities for the 119th Congress.

Committee Meetings

Joint Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee

  • During a joint meeting, Research Co-Chair Spencer Levy (Global Chief Client Officer & Senior Economic Advisor, CBRE) and Darin Mellot (CBRE) discussed the current real estate conditions and the outlook for real estate credit and capital markets. Working Group Chair Michael Lascher (Global Head of Real Estate Debt Capital Markets, Blackstone) led a discussion on office financing with David Bouton (Citibank), Michael Maturo (RXR Realty), and James Million (CBRE). Will Skinner (Blackstone Credit and Insurance) presented on the growing adoption of private credit by insurance companies and the interplay with alternative asset managers. (Agenda & Speakers)

Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC)

  • TPAC Chair Joshua M. Parker (Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, Ancora L&G) and TPAC Vice Chair David Friedline (Partner, Deloitte Tax LLP) led panels on the status of tax legislation in Congress and the pending expiration of the TCJA, property conversions, partnerships, pass-throughs, partnership basis-shifting rules, and SECA-limited partners tax dispute. (Agenda & Speakers)

Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC)

  • SPAC Vice Chairs Ben Myers (Vice President, Sustainability, BXP) and Katie Rothenberg (Vice President, ESG, Avalon Bay Communities, Inc.) led discussions on public-private partnership opportunities with US-DOE, utilities, refrigerant emissions, and building performance standards. (Agenda & Speakers)

Homeland Security Task Force (HSTF)

  • Co-Chair Amanda S. Mason (Executive Director, Global Intelligence, Related Companies) highlighted the overall mission of the HSTF, and led a series of discussions on areas of concerns for the commercial facilities sector. Bruce Hoffman (Senior Fellow for Counterterrorism and Homeland Security, Council on Foreign Relations) provided an overview of implications of recent terrorist incidents here and abroad, and the evolving terrorism landscape. Trent Frazier (CISA) and Tobi Rosenzweig, (U.S. Department of State) discussed the current geopolitical tensions in Europe and both short-term and long-term risks. Ken Kurz (COPT Defense Properties)and Marcelle Lee (Equinix) led a panel on the evolving landscape of cyber and physical threats. Cathy Lanier (National Football League), Hon. Lucian Niemeyer (Building Cyber Security), and Thomas Warrick (The Future of DHS Project) hosted a roundtable discussion on recent terrorism incidents, and natural catastrophes.(Agenda & Speakers)

Next on RER's FY 2025 meeting calendar is the Spring Meeting on April 7-8. The Spring Meeting is restricted to Roundtable-level members only. 

Trump’s First 100 Days: Top Commercial Real Estate Policies to Watch

President Donald Trump’s second term is rapidly taking shape, with sweeping executive orders, quick nominations and bold policy announcements advancing in the first few days of his second administration. From tax policy to housing, immigration, and energy initiatives, the commercial real estate sector faces a dynamic and fast-changing landscape.

Tax Policy

  • TCJA Renewal: Efforts to extend key provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) are a key priority for the Trump administration and Republicans in Congress, with significant implications for commercial real estate.
  • A number of RER priorities are at stake, including maintaining the reduced tax rate on capital gains, extending Opportunity Zones and the Section 199A deduction, safeguarding like-kind exchanges and enacting federal tax incentives for property conversions to address the housing shortage. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 10)
  • The content of the reconciliation package continues to be heavily debated, with multiple areas of intra-party disagreement among Republicans to overcome in order to reach a deal. Concerns about pay-fors, the growing debt, budget cuts and proposals to eliminate the state and local tax deduction (SALT) remain. (Politico, Jan. 22)
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer appeared on Marcus & Millichap’s 2025 Economic & CRE Outlook webinar with a panel of industry leaders discussing the macro environment, the potential policies of the new administration and tariffs, affordable housing, tax policy expectations and more.

Tariffs

  • Proposed Tariffs: Trump has signaled a desire to implement sweeping tariffs, including a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada that could go into effect on Feb. 1. Trump has also considered a universal 20% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on China. (CNN, Jan. 21)

  • These measures are aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and addressing trade imbalances but could have ripple effects on construction costs and material availability. Any tariffs on imported materials like steel, aluminum and lumber are likely to drive up costs for developers and impact efforts to address the housing shortage. (BisNow, Jan. 17)

  • The scale and scope of the President’s tariff plans are in flux. Trump’s advisors have reportedly considered a phased-in tariff approach. It’s also possible that Trump makes use of the White House’s exemption authority to protect certain industries or goods deemed vital. (Bloomberg, Jan. 13)

Regulatory Work

  • President Trump also signed an executive order freezing all ongoing regulatory work across the federal government, halting the proposal or publication of new rules until reviewed and approved by his administration.
  • The freeze delays the effective date of recently published rules by 60 days, allowing time to decide which Biden-era regulations to keep, rewrite, or discard. (National Law Review, Jan. 23)
  • As with many other parts of the U.S. financial regulatory framework, the pending Basel III Endgame proposal may end up being reproposed with a capital neutral scheme, giving a potential boost to liquidity and credit capacity under the new Trump administration. 

Disaster Aid and NFIP Extension

  • California Fires: Congress and the new administration will soon need to provide billions of dollars in aid to assist those affected by the Los Angeles wildfires. The catastrophe could reach up to $275 billion, with then of thousands of homes and businesses will need to be rebuilt, making federal assistance essential. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 17)
  • NFIP: The increasing severity of natural disasters—including the devastating hurricanes last year—has increased the importance of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), whichis set to expire on March 14 unless reauthorized. The Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee held a hearing on Thursday to discuss the program’s renewal. (Politico, Jan. 22)

Housing

  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Privatization: Trump’s team is expected to resume efforts to privatize the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), which could significantly reshape multifamily financing markets.
  • Trump has nominated Bill Pulte, to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the GSEs—a move experts say is part of Trump’s push towards privatization. (CRE Daily, Jan. 17)
  • Deregulation to Spur Housing Development: Trump has pledged to roll back environmental and building regulations that hinder housing construction. This includes streamlining permitting processes, relaxing restrictions and accelerating project timelines.
  • Trump’s nominee for the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Scott Turner, has pledged to cut regulations that he says are stifling development. These efforts aim to increase housing supply, particularly in high-demand markets. (BisNow, Jan. 17)

Immigration and Labor

  • Deportations: Trump’s plans for mass deportations could have significant effects on the housing industry. Immigrants make up over 25% of the construction laborer workforce in the U.S., an industry where more workers are sorely needed—especially if affordable housing goals are to be met. (Bisnow, Jan. 17)
  • Depending on the extent of Trump’s deportation plans, CRE projects may face rising costs and delays if the construction workforce is severely affected. (NBC News, Jan. 21)
  • According to the Associated Builders and Contractors, the construction industry needs 439,000 new workers this year to meet rising demand. The need for construction resources is urgent, with Los Angeles requiring rebuilding after devastating fires and a nationwide surge in data center construction on the horizon. (Axios, Jan. 24)

Energy and Infrastructure

  • Emergency Powers: On the day Trump took office, he declared an energy emergency—giving the White House new authority to speed up the manufacture of certain products under the Defense Production Act, issue waivers on certain gasoline restrictions and restrict energy trade, among other powers—likely in service of Trump’s stated effort to “drill, baby, drill.” (The Hill, Jan. 20)
  • Data Centers: Trump also announced a $500 billion “Stargate” initiative designed to expand AI-focused data center infrastructure. The executive order prioritizes the use of fossil fuels to power these facilities and streamlines permitting processes for large-scale projects. (AP News, Jan. 22)
  • The investment could help hasten the buildout of high-demand data centers, which are limited by the availability of energy resources and infrastructure. (BisNow, Jan. 22)

Looking Ahead

With the whirlwind of activity coming out of the Trump administration and Congress, RER will continue to proactively evaluate policy developments as legislative efforts and White House implementation of executive orders progress.

Momentum Grows for In-Person Work Across Public and Private Sectors

President Donald Trump’s executive order requiring federal employees to return to in-person work, combined with similar legislative efforts in Congress and private-sector return-to-office mandates, could significantly impact Washington, D.C.’s commercial real estate market.

Federal Mandate May Upend Greater Washington Market

  • On day one of his second term, President Trump signed a mandate requiring all federal workers to return to full-time in-person work. (Washington Post, Jan. 23)
  • “Heads of all departments and agencies in the executive branch of Government shall, as soon as practicable, take all necessary steps to terminate remote work arrangements and require employees to return to work in-person at their respective duty stations on a full-time basis, provided that the department and agency heads shall make exemptions they deem necessary,” the executive order reads. (BisNow, Jan. 20)
  • The order could significantly affect the office market in the Greater Washington region, which is still grappling with economic challenges in the commercial real estate sector and a sluggish recovery in downtown activity post-pandemic. This past summer, D.C. recorded its highest-ever office vacancy rate. (WJLA, Aug. 12)
  • The executive order coincides with reports that the administration is considering selling two-thirds of the federal government’s office portfolio to the private sector and terminating millions of square feet of leased commercial space. (WSJ, Jan. 21)

Mandate Follows a History of Legislative Attempts

  • This executive order aligns with similar efforts from Republicans in Congress to legislate return-to-work mandates for federal employees.
  • On January 16th, Rep. James Comer (R-KY), chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, reintroduced the SHOW UP Act, aimed at returning the federal workforce to pre-pandemic telework levels. The bill cleared the House along party lines early in the last Congress, but the Senate didn’t take up the companion bill. (FNN, Jan. 17)
  • Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) has reintroduced the Return to Work Act, a bill that—similarly to the SHOW UP Act—would return federal employees to the telework schedules they had before the COVID-19 pandemic. (FNN, Jan. 17)
  • RER has consistently emphasized that federal policies promoting remote work undermine the health of cities, local tax bases, and small businesses, and urged policymakers to end government policies that encourage remote working arrangements for federal employees. (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 2023)

Private Sector Efforts

  • Leaders in the private sector are also driving the return-to-office momentum.
  • In a January memo, JPMorgan Chase announced that all employees would be required to return to in-person work by March. 'Now is the right time to solidify our full-time in-office approach,' CEO Jamie Dimon and other executives wrote in the company-wide message, emphasizing that they believe this approach is the most effective way to operate the business. (Bloomberg, Jan. 7)
  • Amazon also began 2025 by requiring its nearly 350,000 corporate employees to return to in-person work, including those at its Seattle headquarters and the newly established HQ2 in National Landing. (WMTV, Jan. 2)

Looking Ahead

Despite hesitations, the return-to-office mandates sweeping across both the public and private sectors signal a notable industry shift for commercial real estate and a potential revitalization of urban office hubs. RER strongly supports return-to-office efforts as critical to thriving cities and communities, and looks forward to working alongside our public and private sector partners to drive vibrant downtowns and economies across the country.