Industry Leaders Discuss Economic Outlook, Policy Priorities, and Geopolitical Challenges at Annual Meeting
Senate to Debate Changes to Reconciliation Bill
House-Passed Reconciliation Bill includes Potential New Taxes on Foreign Investors
GSE Reform Discussions Resurface as President Trump Signals Push to Take Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Public
Roundtable Weekly
May 30, 2025
Industry Leaders Discuss Economic Outlook, Policy Priorities, and Geopolitical Challenges at Annual Meeting

The Real Estate Roundtable’s (RER) 2025 Annual Meeting this week included discussions with public officials and industry leaders on a range of issues affecting commercial real estate, including market conditions, tax policy, the House’s recent passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, tariffs and trade, affordable housing solutions, energy policy, and evolving security threats.

Roundtable Leadership

  • RER Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head of Blackstone Real Estate, Blackstone) opened the meeting by thanking members for their consistent engagement and highlighting the significance of RER’s collaborative efforts in navigating a rapidly evolving policy landscape. (May 2025 Policy Priorities and Executive Summary)
  • During the meeting, RER members approved the nominees for its FY26 board of directors and policy advisory committee officers, which were announced by RER Nominating Committee Chair Geordy Johnson (CEO, The Johnson Group).
  • Addressing the membership, RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer emphasized RER’s ongoing commitment to enhancing member involvement through RER’s policy advisory committees and underscored the value of strategic partnerships with other national real estate organizations for proactive policy advocacy. (Meeting Agenda)

Meeting Speakers

  • The Honorable Kevin Hassett (Director, National Economic Council) presented the administration’s economic agenda, focusing on housing initiatives, factory expensing, and the outlook for growth.
  • (L-R): Hessam Nadji (President and CEO, Marcus & Millichap), Martha Gimble (Executive Director, The Budget Lab at Yale University), and Jonathan Pollack (President, Starwood Capital Group) provided macroeconomic insights, reviewed current and future CRE market trends, and spoke about challenges amidst tariff-induced uncertainty. (Hessam Nadji Presentation | Martha Gimble Presentation)
  • Anna Palmer (Founder & CEO of Punchbowl News) offered her perspective on legislative developments and negotiations, and the rise of influential figures within both political parties.

Policy Advisory Committee Meetings

  • Each of RER’s policy advisory committees met this week in conjunction with the Annual Meeting for in-depth policy discussions. The committees hosted several congressional staff and regulatory officials.

Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC) Meeting

  • SPAC Chair Anthony E. Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.), Co-Vice Chairs Ben Myers (Vice President, Sustainability, BXP) and Katie Rothenberg (Vice President, ESG, AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) led discussions on EPA’s ENERGY STAR program, grid reliability, clean energy procurement, and nuclear energy deployment. (Agenda & Speakers)

Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC)

  • TPAC Chair Josh Parker (Chairman & CEO, Ancora Group Capital), Vice Chair David Friedline (Partner, Deloitte Tax LLP), and the Committee discussed the broad range of tax proposals affecting real estate that are working their way through Congress in the budget reconciliation bill. Panelists included senior staff from the offices of the House Speaker, Ways and Means Committee, Senator Tim Scott (R-SC), and Senator Todd Young (R-IN), as well as the Treasury Department. In addition, tax experts from Baker McKenzie, Sullivan & Cromwell, and Brownstein led or moderated discussions concerning potential new taxes on foreign investors, regulatory initiatives, and Opportunity Zones.  (Agenda & Speakers)

Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC)

  • SPAC Chair Anthony E. Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.) and Vice Chairs Ben Myers (Vice President, Sustainability, BXP) and Katie Rothenberg (VP, ESG, AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) led discussions on (Agenda & Speakers)

Joint Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee Meeting

  • D. Michael Van Konynenburg (President, Eastdil Secured) provided an overview of conditions in real estate credit and capital markets.
  • Following a national policy update from RER’S Ryan McCormick (SVP & Counsel, RER) and Chip Rodgers (SVP, RER), Research Committee Chair Spencer Levy (Global Chief Client Officer & Senior Economic Advisor, CBRE) and Darin Mellot (Vice President of Capital Markets Research, CBRE) led a discussion on the evolving post Liberation Day impact of tariffs on commercial real estate markets. 
  • Robert Rubano (Executive Vice Chairman, Head of Equity, Debt, & Structured Finance, Cushman & Wakefield) moderated a capital market roundtable with David Bouton (Co-Head of U.S. CMBS, Citigroup), Jack Gay (Senior Managing Director, Global Head of Real Estate Debt, Nuveen Real Estate), Kathryn Ogden, (Head U.S. Corporate Banking and Global Head, Real Estate Capital Partners (RECP), RBC Capital Markets), and Matt Salem (Partner, Head of RE Credit, KKR). (Agenda & Speakers)

Homeland Security Task Force (HSTF) Meeting

  • HSTF Chair Amanda S. Mason (Executive Director, Global Intelligence, Related Companies) facilitated a number of discussions on the current threat picture.  These discussions included a review of the risks to commercial facilities from lithium-ion batteries with John Frank (AXA XL Risk Consulting). The meeting also included a series of briefs from the FBI regarding the threats from terrorist and transnational criminal organizations that are directly threatening U.S. citizens and commercial facilities. These discussions included updates on the role of the cartels in violent crime, the deaths of American citizens from synthetic opioids, and the facilitation of nearly three million illegal migrant arrivals in 2024, putting U.S. communities at risk. Also addressed were the range of cyber and intelligence threats from China, targeting our critical infrastructure. (Agenda & Speakers)

RER’s 2025 Annual Report will be distributed in July. Next on RER’s FY 2025 meeting calendar is the Fall Meeting, which will take place on October 27-28 (restricted to Roundtable-level members only). 

Senate to Debate Changes to Reconciliation Bill

With Congress back in session next week, the Senate is gearing up to take on the House’s reconciliation package and potentially make significant changes to the bill. Meanwhile, the Trump administration is expected to release further information on its FY2026 budget.

Senate to Take Up One Big Beautiful Bill Act

  • “This bill is far from over, but we are pleased the House bill maintains current law on business property and income tax deductibility, carried interest, and Section 1031 exchanges, while also improving Opportunity Zones, the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, and taxation of pass-through entities,” said Jeffrey DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable (RER). “As the Senate takes up this bill we plan to work to preserve these provisions.  We are also highly focused on eliminating the ‘retaliatory tax’ on foreign investment, as well as improving other aspects of the bill.”
  • The Senate is back in session Monday and eager to put its mark on the massive reconciliation package. The next four weeks will involve crucial tax negotiations on a variety of key provisions, including Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) energy tax incentives, state and local tax (SALT) deductions, Medicaid, and more. There are also procedural hurdles that the Senate bill must overcome.
  • Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) implored his Senate colleagues to avoid making major changes to the bill, saying, “If it wasn’t obvious for them, I wanted them to know the equilibrium that we reached is so delicate… My hope and my encouragement to them is – fine tune this product as little as possible.” (Punchbowl News, May 26)
  • Difficult compromises based on countless hours of negotiations were made to get the House bill across the finish line. If the Senate makes drastic changes, it could force negotiators back to the drawing board on certain issues and make it more difficult to meet the GOP’s goal of getting the reconciliation bill to President Trump’s desk by July 4. (Punchbowl News, May 29)

Expected Changes to the Reconciliation Bill

  • Early reports indicate that Senate leadership will seek only minor modifications to the House’s bill, rather than sweeping changes. But some senators are pushing for much more. (Punchbowl News, May 23)
  • Procedural changes: The Senate’s Byrd Rule requires that only budget-related items are included in the reconciliation process. As a result, some minor provisions could be stripped out. (Axios, May 28)
  • Tax additions: The Senate is also expected to switch the bill from a “current law” to a “current policy” baseline, allowing the Senate to permanently extend key tax cuts expiring this year. This would give Senate tax writers more space to include other tax provisions, including the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’s (TCJA) 100 percent bonus depreciation.
  • Energy tax incentives: Multiple GOP senators have advocated for protecting the IRA energy tax incentives, including Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Thom Tillis (R-NC), who sits on the Senate Finance Committee and wants to moderate the House’s rollback of the tax credits. (Politico, May 23)
  • These modifications could include extending some tax credits that the House bill proposed eliminating, or expanding the timeline for their phase-out to ensure that the change does not strand energy projects already in progress.

Other Potential Changes

  • Medicaid cuts: Sens. Josh Hawley (R-MO), Susan Collins (R-ME), and others have taken issue with the House bill’s Medicaid cost-cutting measures, including expanded work requirements and other changes. (The Hill, May 28)
  • Deficit debate: A group of deficit hawks, including Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI), are pushing for far deeper spending cuts than the House bill proposes, and have criticized it for not sufficiently reducing the deficit. Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) also called the spending cuts in the House bill “wimpy and anemic." (Axios, May 25)
  • Pressure from President Trump was crucial to getting deficit hawks in the House to back down from their opposition to the lower chamber’s bill. It remains to be seen whether conservatives concerned about the deficit in the Senate will put up more of a fight.
  • Debt limit: The Senate could increase the debt limit hike in the bill from $4 trillion to $5 trillion, ensuring that the next debt limit fight doesn’t happen until after the 2026 midterms. However, this proposal has also faced opposition from Sen. Rand Paul. (Politico, May 25)
  • Overall, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) has his work cut out for him in order to hammer out the differences in opinion within his caucus. He can only afford to lose three GOP senators. It will take immense effort and deft political maneuvering to meet their aggressive July 4 goal.

Looking Ahead

  • Trump’s FY2026 budget request is expected to be released next week, kicking off a renewed budget battle after the administration’s skinny budget proposed in early May received pushback from both sides of the aisle. (Reuters, May 2)

RER will continue to engage with policymakers to ensure that the commercial real estate industry has a seat at the table in the critical Senate negotiations to come.

House-Passed Reconciliation Bill includes Potential New Taxes on Foreign Investors

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act approved by the House of Representatives last week would raise tax rates on foreign governments, firms, partnerships and individuals from any foreign country that imposes “unfair foreign taxes.”

Proposed Section 899

  • The so-called section 899 “retaliatory tax measures” legislation was a significant topic at this week’s Real Estate Roundtable Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC) meeting. A discussion of the legislation was led by Baker McKenzie partner Alexandra Minkovich. (Proposed Section 899 Presentation)
  • Unfair foreign taxes are broadly defined in the legislation to include digital services taxes, diverted profits taxes, and certain tax rules adopted by countries pursuant to OECD model rules for taxing multinational businesses (“Pillar 2”), as well as taxes that the Treasury Secretary determines are extraterritorial, discriminatory, or intended to be born disproportionately by US persons.
  • The legislation would raise the applicable treaty or non-treaty tax rate by 5%/year, up to the maximum statutory tax rate plus 20%.   (WSJ, May 30)
  • Countries or regions widely considered targets of the legislation because of their adoption of either digital services taxes or Pillar 2 undertaxed profits rules include the U.K., Canada, the E.U., Australia, and Japan. 

Implications for CRE

  • If enacted, the legislation could have implications for U.S. real estate because of its application to sovereign wealth funds, foreign insurance companies, and passive investors that provide an important source of equity investment for large-scale, capital-intensive U.S. real estate and infrastructure projects. It could have a chilling effect on inbound investment decisions.
  • According to CBRE, foreign investment in U.S. real estate increased by 40 percent between the second half of 2023 and the second half of 2024. (CBRE, March 2025)
  • Chye-Ching Huang with the NYU Tax Law Center recently told the New York Times that the legislation would “create a new front in the U.S. tariff war with its closest economic partners, extending that to taxes and investment.” (New York Times, May 21)
  • The provisions in the House bill draw heavily from legislation introduced by House Ways and Means Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO). They are estimated to raise $116 billion over 10 years. It is unclear whether they have the full support of key Senators. Also, because they implicate foreign relations and treaty commitments, they could face parliamentary challenges under Senate rules.

At the TPAC meeting this week, Committee Chair Josh Parker (Chairman & CEO, Ancora Group Capital), announced the formation of a working group to analyze the legislation’s impact on real estate and ensure policymakers fully understand the potential unintended consequences of the bill.  

GSE Reform Discussions Resurface as President Trump Signals Push to Take Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Public

After nearly 17 years in government conservatorship, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be heading for a significant shift. President Donald Trump recently indicated he is considering taking the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) public, renewing efforts to release them that began during his first administration.

GSE Reform

  • Trump emphasized that any transition would retain the federal government's implicit guarantees. "I am working on TAKING THESE AMAZING COMPANIES PUBLIC, but I want to be clear, the U.S. Government will keep its implicit GUARANTEES, and I will stay strong in my position on overseeing them as President," Trump said in a post on Truth Social. (Axios, May 27)
  • The GSEs have been in federal conservatorship since 2008, and the administration has not yet detailed how the proposed transition would work.
  • Congressional action would likely be required to change their legal status.
  • “Interestingly, the president has not said anything that he wants to end conservatorship,” Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Director Bill Pulte said during a CNBC interview. “We’re studying actually potentially keeping it in conservatorship and taking it public.” (Barrons, May 29)
  • Pulte said he would be meeting with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick about potential options for the two entities. (Bloomberg, May 29)
  • Experts warn that without careful implementation, privatization could increase mortgage rates. Both Bessent and Pulte have said they will not support a GSE release that results in higher costs for borrowers.
  • The limited government guarantee is critical to attract private capital without spiking borrowing costs, and support for affordable and underserved housing must remain a priority, regardless of ownership structure, say the National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) and the National Apartment Association (NAA).
  • RER supports sensible GSE reform that preserves and strengthens America’s housing infrastructure, ensuring financial stability and continued liquidity for ownership, rental housing, and underserved markets. (Roundtable Weekly, May 23)

View from the Hill

  • While no active GSE reform legislation is under consideration in Congress, lawmakers from both parties are seeking more clarity from the administration.
  • Senate Banking Committee members have signaled interest in a structured release, with Senate Republicans expressing cautious optimism and Senate Democrats raising concerns about potential disruptions to an already stressed housing market. (CBS News, May 27)
  • Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) expressed support for a “smart release plan that wouldn’t disrupt the market.” (Punchbowl News, May 27)
  • “You do this the wrong way, you’re going to screw up a housing market that’s already teetering because of lack of supply,” said Warner. (PoliticoPro, May 23)
  • Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-ND) stated, “I’d want to see the plan, I’d want to talk about transition.”
  • House Financial Services Committee Chairman French Hill (R-AR) noted that “certain important reforms are only possible through statutory changes,” reinforcing that Congressional involvement will likely be necessary.

RER will remain actively engaged on GSE reform through our working group and housing and coalition efforts. We encourage members to provide input as we continue to monitor developments and advocate for policies that support liquidity, stability, and affordability in the housing finance system.