Category: Q3 Sentiment Index

Stabilizing Market Conditions Drive Optimism in Q3 Sentiment Index

Posted on by abigail_grenadier

(WASHINGTON, D.C.) — The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q3 2025 Sentiment Index reflects increased confidence among commercial real estate executives as market conditions stabilize and sector-led growth emerges. The Q3 Index posted an overall score of 67, a 13-point increase from the previous quarter, with notable increases in both the Current (63) and Future (71) indices.

RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer said, “Our Q3 Sentiment Index results show that market conditions have continued to stabilize in a meaningful way, supported by improved supply and demand. Commercial real estate executives are increasingly optimistic that the next 12 months will bring continued improvement. That said, certain property types continue to face headwinds, and capital access remains uneven across markets and sectors. Even so, the prevailing sentiment is that stability is returning and opportunities are emerging.”

While challenges remain, industry leaders see meaningful opportunities ahead, particularly in multifamily, data centers, and select office markets.

He added, “The provisions in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act should help accelerate this momentum— expanding housing supply, revitalizing communities, spurring job-creating investment nationwide, and strengthening the broader economy. Coupled with improving debt capital availability and stabilizing asset values, these policies set the stage for renewed growth. Moving forward, industry leaders and policymakers must continue to work together to promote investment, ensure credit access, and address persistent supply-demand imbalances in housing and other high-need property sectors.”

The Q3 Sentiment Index topline findings include:

  • The Q3 2025 Real Estate Roundtable Sentiment Index registered an overall score of 67, an increase of 13 points over the previous quarter. The Current Index registered 63, a 13-point increase over Q2 2025. The Future Index posted a score of 71 points, an increase of 13 points over the previous quarter, reflecting sentiment that operating conditions have largely stabilized: occupancy and demand are holding, and values appear to have bottomed. Participants expect modest, sector-led growth, yet acknowledge lingering headwinds for weaker property types.
  • Sentiment around general market conditions has markedly increased since last quarter (Q2). Only 10% of respondents believe that general market conditions are worse than this time last year, and 56% of respondents believe that general market conditions are better than this time last year. Almost three- quarters (73%) of Q3 survey participants expect general market conditions to show improvement one year from now. Multifamily, data centers, and NYC office shine while industrial supply is overbuilt.
  • Half of respondents believe asset values are roughly unchanged compared to a year ago. The remaining respondents are divided, with 32% believing asset prices have increased and 18% believing they have declined. Looking ahead, the outlook is optimistic: 59% expect asset prices to rise over the next year, 32% believe asset values will remain stable, and only 9% anticipate a slight decline.
  • Perceptions on the availability of equity capital relative to last year are muted, with 50% of respondents believing equity availability is unchanged compared to a year ago. On the other hand, sentiment around debt capital has risen significantly, as 65% said the availability of debt capital has improved from last year. Looking forward, 55% of respondents believe that equity capital availability will be better in one year and 48% believe debt capital availability will be better.

Survey participants noted that the market is increasingly sector-specific, with performance tied closely to location, asset quality, and loan maturity schedules. Comments highlighted stabilizing fundamentals, renewed deal competition, and a narrowing bid-ask spread in transactions.

Some sample responses from participants in the Sentiment Index’s Q3 survey include:

“The market feels largely stable. There is still uncertainty about what lies ahead, yet conditions are far steadier than we have seen in recent years.”

“Real estate is a local business, and this cycle underlines how unique every market and product type really is. There is no ‘one-size-fits-all’ answer; it all depends on where you are, how favorable your product is, and the date of your loan maturity.”

“Debt is liquid with tight spreads; on the equity side it’s a ‘haves and have-nots’ market. Quality product will still get funded.”

Data for the Q3 survey was gathered by Chicago-based Ferguson Partners on RER’s behalf in July. See the full Q3 report.

The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) brings together leaders of the nation’s top publicly-held and privately-owned real estate ownership, development, lending and management firms with the leaders of major national real estate trade associations to jointly address key national policy issues relating to real estate and the overall economy.

Commercial Real Estate Executives Optimistic Despite Challenging Market Conditions

Posted on by Trey Jackson

August 16, 2023 (WASHINGTON, D.C.) — Industry leaders remain optimistic about future market conditions while acknowledging uncertainty due to interest rate increases, maturing office loans, financing costs, prolonged remote work policies, and labor productivity, according to The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q3 2023 Sentiment Index.

Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer said, “Many maturing loans were financed when base rates were near zero and now need to be refinanced in a challenging environment where rates are much higher, values are lower, and markets are less liquid. Higher rates are also contributing to cyclical pressure on valuations. On top of that, remote work has devastated America’s downtowns and stalled office demand.”

DeBoer added, “The economy has undergone significant transformations due to the pandemic. The realities and challenges we face today requires us to rethink how businesses and people use offices, retail, housing, medical care, and more. Future buildings must accommodate the changes to be successful. The Roundtable will continue to advocate and support measures that boost the availability of credit and enhance the formation of capital in the commercial real estate industry, particularly during these times of market uncertainty.”

The Roundtable’s Economic Sentiment Index—a measure of senior executives’ confidence and expectations about the commercial real estate market environment—is scored on a scale of 1 to 100 by averaging the scores of Current and Future Economic Sentiment Indices.­­­­ Any score over 50 is viewed as positive. ­­­­

The Q3 Sentiment Index topline findings include:

All indices reported increases: The Q3 2023 Real Estate Roundtable Sentiment Index registered an overall score of 46, an increase of five points from the previous quarter. The Current Index registered 33, a six-point increase from Q2 2023, and the Future Index posted a score of 59 points, an increase of four points from the previous quarter.

Disparities between asset classes persist in these challenging market conditions. Hotel and retail markets are largely performing well. Niche asset classes continue to generate interest. On the other hand, office is performing poorly, and rental growth in multifamily and industrial are starting to abate.

Perceptions of declining asset values continue to dominate, with 95% of survey participants reporting that asset values are lower as compared to last year. While Class A properties across all asset classes are trading at competitive prices, managers are still in a “wait and see” mindset for other assets, resulting in lower transaction volumes and an inability to complete accurate valuations.

The availability of capital —both debt and equity—continues to be a pressing topic; 85% and 69% of survey participants, respectively, believe that today’s conditions are more difficult than a year ago. Although managers face a difficult capital raising environment, only 24% and 9% of participants believe debt and equity availability respectively will be worse a year from now as the industry works to creatively solve financing issues.

Data for the Q3 survey was gathered by Chicago-based Ferguson Partners on The Roundtable’s behalf in July. See the full Q3 report.

The Real Estate Roundtable brings together leaders of the nation’s top publicly-held and privately-owned real estate ownership, development, lending and management firms with the leaders of major national real estate trade associations to jointly address key national policy issues relating to real estate and the overall economy.

Commercial Real Estate Executives Optimistic Despite Challenging Market Conditions

Posted on by Trey Jackson

August 16, 2023 (WASHINGTON, D.C.) — Industry leaders remain optimistic about future market conditions while acknowledging uncertainty due to interest rate increases, maturing office loans, financing costs, prolonged remote work policies, and labor productivity, according to The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q3 2023 Sentiment Index.

Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer said, “Many maturing loans were financed when base rates were near zero and now need to be refinanced in a challenging environment where rates are much higher, values are lower, and markets are less liquid. Higher rates are also contributing to cyclical pressure on valuations. On top of that, remote work has devastated America’s downtowns and stalled office demand.”

DeBoer added, “The economy has undergone significant transformations due to the pandemic. The realities and challenges we face today requires us to rethink how businesses and people use offices, retail, housing, medical care, and more. Future buildings must accommodate the changes to be successful. The Roundtable will continue to advocate and support measures that boost the availability of credit and enhance the formation of capital in the commercial real estate industry, particularly during these times of market uncertainty.”

The Roundtable’s Economic Sentiment Index—a measure of senior executives’ confidence and expectations about the commercial real estate market environment—is scored on a scale of 1 to 100 by averaging the scores of Current and Future Economic Sentiment Indices.­­­­ Any score over 50 is viewed as positive. ­­­­

The Q3 Sentiment Index topline findings include:

All indices reported increases: The Q3 2023 Real Estate Roundtable Sentiment Index registered an overall score of 46, an increase of five points from the previous quarter. The Current Index registered 33, a six-point increase from Q2 2023, and the Future Index posted a score of 59 points, an increase of four points from the previous quarter.

Disparities between asset classes persist in these challenging market conditions. Hotel and retail markets are largely performing well. Niche asset classes continue to generate interest. On the other hand, office is performing poorly, and rental growth in multifamily and industrial are starting to abate.

Perceptions of declining asset values continue to dominate, with 95% of survey participants reporting that asset values are lower as compared to last year. While Class A properties across all asset classes are trading at competitive prices, managers are still in a “wait and see” mindset for other assets, resulting in lower transaction volumes and an inability to complete accurate valuations.

The availability of capital —both debt and equity—continues to be a pressing topic; 85% and 69% of survey participants, respectively, believe that today’s conditions are more difficult than a year ago. Although managers face a difficult capital raising environment, only 24% and 9% of participants believe debt and equity availability respectively will be worse a year from now as the industry works to creatively solve financing issues.

Data for the Q3 survey was gathered by Chicago-based Ferguson Partners on The Roundtable’s behalf in July. See the full Q3 report.

The Real Estate Roundtable brings together leaders of the nation’s top publicly-held and privately-owned real estate ownership, development, lending and management firms with the leaders of major national real estate trade associations to jointly address key national policy issues relating to real estate and the overall economy.