Summary

More than $950 billion of U.S. commercial real estate mortgages are estimated to mature in 2025. To help rebalance the wave of maturing loans, it is important to advance measures that will encourage additional capital formation and loan restructuring.

• As urged by RER, a policy statement—Policy Statement on Prudent Commercial Real Estate Loan Accommodations and Workouts—issued by regulatory agencies encouraging financial institutions to work constructively with creditworthy borrowers on CRE loan workouts is helping to see loans through the current environment.
• Many of these loans require additional equity, and borrowers still need time to restructure this debt. 
• Capital formation is vital to help restructure maturing debt and fill the equity gap.

It is also important to avoid pro-cyclical regulatory actions such as the Basel III Endgame.

A revised Basel III Endgame proposal announced in September 2024 would have increased Tier 1 capital requirements for global systemically important banks by roughly 9 percent. Concerns remain that any increase in capital requirements will have a pro-cyclical impact on credit capacity and carry a cost to commercial real estate and the overall economy, increasing the cost of credit and constraining capacity. Implementation remains uncertain.

In a January 2024 letter, RER raised industry concerns about the negative impact of the Basel III Endgame proposal, including the higher cost of credit and diminished lending capacity, and requested that the proposal be withdrawn.

The Fed and other regulators remain deadlocked on advancing the revised proposal. With the appointment of Michelle Bowman to the post of Vice Chair for Supervision, however, there is speculation that the proposal could ultimately be withdrawn or end up being capital neutral.

Key Takeaways

Providing banks with the flexibility to work constructively with their borrowers during times of economic stress has led to billions of dollars of loan restructurings and reduced undue stress in bank loan portfolios.

The proposed Basel III Endgame regulations would come at a significant economic cost without clear benefits to the economy.

The largest U.S. banks’ capital and liquidity levels have grown dramatically since the original Basel III standards were implemented in 2013 in response to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Since 2009, Tier 1 capital has increased by 56 percent and Common Equity Tier 1 capital has tripled. Today, as the Federal Reserve recently observed, the U.S. “banking system is sound and resilient, with strong capital and liquidity.”

Further, it is important to bring more foreign capital into U.S. real estate by lifting legal barriers to investment, as well as repealing or reforming the archaic Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act (FIRPTA).

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Summary

The proliferation of natural catastrophe threats has raised concerns about commercial insurance coverage for real estate. These concerns have highlighted the lack of—and need for—insurance capacity and various lines of commercial insurance. Risks from natural disasters like floods, hurricanes, wildfires, hail, tornadoes, and drought cost the U.S. billions of dollars each year. Even if policyholders are able to find coverage for these various lines, prices are increasing dramatically. A lack of adequate coverage will lead to economic uncertainty, harm stakeholders, and undermine the growth of communities.     

The budget debate in Congress has called into question the future of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which is subject to temporary funding extensions. A federal government shutdown began on Oct. 1, 2025, after Congress failed to pass a budget for the new fiscal year. As a result of this funding lapse, the NFIP has also expired, halting the sale and renewal of millions of flood insurance policies.

RER, along with its industry partners, continues to work constructively with policymakers and stakeholders to address market failure and enact a long-term reauthorization of an improved NFIP.

Key Takeaways

The increased frequency and severity of natural disasters is leading to increased premiums for commercial properties.

As economic losses caused by disasters increase, it is important to find new strategies in order to effectively manage natural catastrophe risk. 

Expanding coverage gaps and increased costs present challenges for businesses across many industries, including real estate.

Without adequate coverage, the vast majority of natural catastrophe losses are likely to be absorbed by policyholders. These widening coverage gaps and price hikes bring about serious economic concerns about protection gaps, coverage capacity, and increased costs from natural catastrophes and business interruption losses.

Commercial property owners can take steps to mitigate the risk of natural disasters and potentially lower their insurance costs.

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Summary

The Corporate Transparency Act (CTA) requires certain companies to disclose information about their beneficial owners to the Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). The goal was to create a national directory of beneficial owners to curb illicit finance, drug cartels, terrorist groups, and other harmful activities.

As of March 2025, the Treasury Department announced it will suspend enforcement of the CTA against U.S. domestic reporting companies and their beneficial owners, focusing solely on foreign entities. This means U.S. commercial real estate entities are now exempt from providing beneficial ownership information to FinCEN.

FinCEN intends to issue new rules to narrow the scope of the CTA’s reporting requirements to only apply to foreign-formed companies that have registered to do business in the U.S.

The Real Estate Roundtable continues to work with policymakers in support of a balanced approach that would inhibit illicit money laundering activity without the imposition of costly reporting requirements for real estate investors. 

Key Takeaways

Thanks to the Treasury’s action to suspend CTA enforcement for domestic reporting companies, much of the concern about the CTA’s far-reaching scope and its impact on many commercial and residential real estate businesses that use the LLC structure for conducting business is allayed.

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Summary

In 2023, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed changes to require SEC-registered investment advisers to put all their clients’ assets, including all digital assets like Bitcoin and certain physical assets like real estate, with “qualified custodians.” The proposal would also require a written agreement between custodians and advisers, expand the “surprise examination” requirements, and enhance recordkeeping rules. These rules were originally designed for digital assets. “Reasonable” safeguarding requirements is ambiguous as applied to real estate. Furthermore, the SEC’s release contains an inaccuracy regarding the way deeds evidencing ownership of real estate are recorded.

RER sees no policy reason to impose the proposed rule on real estate and has advocated for an exception for real estate.

Key Takeaways

Due to a variety of factors, real estate cannot readily be stolen, making the rule seem irrelevant to this asset class. 

In addition to the proposed Custody Rule, the SEC has a number of proposed rulemaking measures that could have a chilling effect on real estate capital markets, further impair liquidity, and be a “death by a thousand cuts” for commercial real estate. 

Capital formation is vital when credit markets tighten to restructure maturing debt.  

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Summary

On Sept. 19, 2025, the White House released an Executive Order, fact sheet, and website announcing Gold and Platinum “Trump Cards.” The program is intended to grant permanent residency in the U.S. for immigrants with high net worth. The administration’s announcement directs the Secretaries of Commerce, State, and Homeland Security to coordinate and establish a program that expedites “green cards” issued under the EB-1 and EB-2 visa categories for foreign nationals who make a “significant financial gift to the Nation.”

It will take some time to see how Trump Cards resonate in foreign capital markets, and what further program guidelines entail, before these and similar questions are fully sorted out.

Key Takeaways

The new Trump Cards and the EB-5 visa program should play complementary roles in efforts to attract global capital and top-tier talent. By supplementing the existing EB-5 program, the Trump Cards can accelerate private investments to create jobs for American workers.

Trump Cards do not replace EB-5 visas. However, it is not yet clear how or whether EB-5 investors will be able to take advantage of the Trump Card program.

The value of Trump Cards to foreign investors, U.S. developers, and employers will likely depend on the varying country-specific backlogs and wait times for EB-1 and EB-2 visas, and how quickly extra Trump Card payments can speed up visa issuance.

The EB-5 program is the established, statutorily authorized pathway to attract foreign investors to the U.S. It has delivered $350 billion in economic impact and created over 1.5 million American jobs—at no cost to taxpayers—and should continue to be fully supported by Congress and the administration.

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Summary

Today, the risk of terrorism remains as strong as ever. According to the 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), “A diverse set of foreign actors are targeting U.S. health and safety, critical infrastructure, industries, wealth, and government. State adversaries and their proxies are also trying to weaken and displace U.S. economic and military power in their regions and across the globe.”

For more than two decades, at almost no cost to the taxpayer, the national terrorism insurance program established by the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) in 2002 has made it possible for businesses to purchase the terrorism risk coverage they need. Threatened with acts of terrorism, and in the absence of a viable private market, business insurance consumers would be unable to secure adequate coverage without such a program. The Real Estate Roundtable supports a long-term reauthorization of TRIA and urges prompt congressional action to renew this critical program in advance of its expiration on Dec. 31, 2027.

Key Takeaways

Terrorism risk is a national security challenge that requires a federal solution.

TRIA has successfully maintained market stability for over 20 years at minimal taxpayer cost.

Without TRIA, terrorism risk coverage would become scarce or unaffordable, threatening economic resilience and recovery.

Should a terrorist attack occur without adequate coverage in place, underinsured businesses will face the risk of ruin, with potentially catastrophic local economic effects, and the federal government will face significant pressure to hastily assemble financial assistance to underinsured victims.

Early reauthorization will ensure continued business confidence and prevent market disruption as the program approaches its 2027 expiration.

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