Trump Tariffs Could Impact Housing Affordability 

On Monday, President-elect Donald Trump pledged to impose a 25 percent tariff on all goods from Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10 percent tariff on imports from China. These measures could have significant repercussions for the U.S. economy, including housing affordability. (WSJ, Nov. 25 | Reuters, Nov. 26)

Response to Illegal Drugs, Immigration

  • Trump’s social media posts stated that the threatened tariffs are necessary to stop illegal immigration and fentanyl trafficking. He couched the levies on imports as temporary, staying in effect “until drugs and migrants stopped coming over the border.” (New York Times, Nov. 26)
  • The U.S. imports the most goods from Mexico, China, and Canada, in that order.  (U.S. Census Bureau, Sept. 2024).
  • Trump said he plans to impose the new tariffs on his first day in office. (AP, Nov. 26). Mexico, the U.S.’s largest export partner after Canada, vowed to retaliate with its own tariffs and spark a possible trade war. (Washington Post, Nov. 26)

Potential Impacts on Housing, Construction

  • “Overly broad and poorly designed tariffs could unintentionally increase housing costs for millions of renters and home buyers,” said Jeffrey D. DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable. “Building safe and desirable housing cost-effectively is tied closely to the price of imported materials like steel, cement, concrete, lumber, glass, and more. Tariffs that increase construction costs would slow bringing new supplies to the market and increase prices to purchase and rent homes.”
  • “We need to boost the nation’s housing supply — through new construction, converting obsolete buildings, strengthening the low-income housing tax incentive, reforming local zoning laws, and other bipartisan strategies,” DeBoer continued. “We look forward to working with the Trump Administration on policies to spur economic growth, create jobs, and in this case, improve housing affordability and availability.”
  • The proposed tariffs would be additional to Biden-era tariffs, which themselves derive from import taxes dating back to the first Trump Administration.
  • For example, in May, President Biden increased the tariff on steel products from China to 25 percent— while also increasing tariffs to varying degrees on semiconductors, solar panels, batteries and other specific Chinese imports. (White House fact sheet, May 14). It appears that President-elect Trump will seek an additional 10 percent on top of these.
  • Similarly, in August, President Biden raised tariffs on imports of Canadian softwood lumber to 14.54 percent, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).  It appears that President-elect Trump plans to raise this import tax further to 25 percent.
  • Lumber tariffs have a detrimental impact on housing affordability, according to NAHB. “In effect, the lumber tariffs act as a tax on American businesses, home buyers, and consumers.”

Potential Impacts on the Broader Economy       

  • Investor Uncertainty: Uncertainty surrounding trade policies risks dampening investor confidence, which could weigh on real estate property values and slow transaction activity. (Bisnow, Nov. 24)
  • Energy costs: A 25 percent tariff on all imports from Canada would drive up energy costs. Canada is the top external supplier of crude oil to the U.S., with oil, gas, and other energy products making up its largest exports. (Bloomberg, Nov. 26)

Trump did not specify how he plans to impose the tariffs, although many have expected him to rely heavily on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. That law gives the president broad authority to regulate U.S. commerce after declaring a national emergency. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 24)

CRE Leaders Gather to Discuss Elections, Economy, Housing and More

Roundtable Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head of Blackstone Real Estate, Blackstone)

This week’s Fall Roundtable meeting came at a pivotal time for commercial real estate, as key policy issues take center stage in Washington. Discussions focused on national policies impacting the industry, including the implications of the recent elections, challenges in capital and credit markets, expiration of the 2017 tax bill, and the federal government’s role in supporting housing supply and regulating energy usage. (Bisnow, Nov. 11)

The meeting also covered topics such as return-to-office trends, office-to-residential conversions, and liquidity concerns. (The Roundtable’s  Fall 2024 Policy Priorities and Executive Summary)

Speakers & Policy Issues

Roundtable members engaged in policy issue discussions with the following guests:

  • Reince Priebus, former White House Chief of Staff (President Trump) and the longest-serving chairman of the Republican National Committee in modern history, gave his perspective on the recent elections, dynamics on Capitol Hill, and potential focus of the new administration in 2025.
(L-R) Roundtable President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer & Reince Preibus
  • Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) is the current ranking member and presumed next chair of the influential Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee and a senior member of the Senate Finance Committee. Sen. Scott advocated for expanding business and homeownership, enhancing financial literacy, and improving affordable housing by reducing regulations and advancing zoning reforms to foster economic growth and equity in communities.
Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC)
  • The Honorable Tom Barkin (President & Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond), provided a candid assessment of economic recovery and the challenges ahead. He also questioned the fundamental demand for office space as companies reassess their needs in a post-pandemic environment. (Reuters, Nov. 14)
(L-R) RER Board Secretary Jodie McLean (CEO, EDENS) and Tom Barkin
  • Rep. Richard Neal (D-MA) (Ranking Member, House Committee on Ways and Means), addressed the significance and major takeaways of the recent election and the outlook for tax and trade policy going forward. He discussed affordable housing incentives, such as the Low Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) and the bipartisan Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act (H.R.9002), and extending tax provisions like Section 199A, capital gains. (RER’s Tax Policy Priorities)
Rep. Richard Neal (D-MA)

Next on The Roundtable’s meeting calendar is the all-member State of the Industry (SOI) Meeting, which will include policy advisory committee meetings, on January 22-23, 2025 in Washington, DC. 

Solutions to Tackle the Affordable Housing Crisis

While recent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are providing relief for both CRE and housing markets, the affordability crisis remains at the forefront of policy debates in Washington.

Roundtable Housing Priorities

  • Sustained recovery and resolution of the affordability crisis will require continued policy reform, increased housing supply, and greater collaboration between public and private sectors. (Roundtable Weekly, Sept. 27)
  • The Roundtable continues to advocate for housing policies that:
  • Streamline Permitting and Zoning: Simplify permitting and zoning processes to reduce delays in housing projects.
  • Promote Modular Construction: Encourage modular construction to accelerate the production of new housing supply.
  • Strengthen Public-Private Partnerships: Foster collaboration between public and private sectors to support innovative construction methods.
  • Expand Housing Incentives: Advocate for expanding the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC), improving the real estate-related clean energy tax provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, and introducing new incentives for the conversion of obsolete commercial buildings into affordable housing. (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 4)
  • Housing policy has become a central issue in the 2024 presidential campaigns as well. (Associated Press, Aug. 27)
  • Vice President Kamala Harris has proposed $25,000 in down payment assistance for first-time buyers and expanding federal funds to streamline local zoning laws and build 3 million homes.
  • Former President Donald Trump countered with plans to reduce housing demand by restricting illegal immigration and opening federal land for housing development while opposing policies that promote urban densification, arguing they harm suburban property values.

Alternative Housing Solutions

  • Property Conversions: The conversion of underutilized and often vacant buildings offers a tremendous opportunity to improve the built environment and uplift a surrounding locality.
  • Modular Housing: A recent survey from The Amherst Group shows that Americans are warming up to modular housing as an alternative solution to the ongoing housing supply shortage. Nearly 90% of respondents find modular homes appealing, and four out of five (81%) would consider living in one themselves.
  • With 71% of respondents interested in seeing more alternative housing types in their neighborhoods, modular homes could play a key role in expanding housing supply. (News Release, Oct. 8)
  • Roundtable member and Amherst Chairman, CEO and CIO Sean Dobson emphasized the potential of modular housing:  “While the offsite construction process has been around for decades, it has yet to be adopted as a mainstream way to generate high-quality housing supply at scale. As a result, homebuilding remains overdue for disruption and innovation. Amid ongoing supply constraints in the U.S., we think modular construction is an important part of the solution.” (News Release, Oct. 8)

The Roundtable encourages policymakers to support federal incentives for affordable housing and zoning reforms to streamline housing development. These measures can help ensure that high-quality, affordable options, such as modular homes, are available to meet rising demand.

The Push for Office-to-Residential Conversions

Cities across the U.S. are increasingly embracing office-to-residential conversions as part of the solution to address persistent housing shortages and high office vacancy rates driven by remote work policies. Many local governments in key metro areas have accelerated incentive programs and made major progress, bringing thousands of new homes into the development pipeline with more to come.

Challenges and Incentives

  • Property conversions can be a cost-effective means to re-purpose certain CRE assets to provide new, affordable housing supply, revive struggling city centers and small businesses, restore local revenue sources, and reduce energy consumption. While costs can vary depending on the building and other project factors, at least one recent property conversion is estimated to cost 40% less than a wholly new apartment building. (Morning Brew, Sept. 24)
  • Office-to-residential conversions present a path to revitalizing downtown areas, but regulatory and financial hurdles must be addressed to unlock their full potential. (ULI, Sept. 27)
  • Various cities are actively pursuing policies to incentivize these conversions through zoning changes and tax incentives:
  • New York City proposed a $400 million initiative to support the conversion of older office buildings into residential units. The “City of Yes for Housing Opportunity” plan aims to create 500,000 new homes over the next decade by legalizing zoning conversions for buildings constructed before 1990 in areas where residential use is allowed, and expands the types of housing commercial buildings can be converted into.
  • Washington, D.C. has implemented the Housing in Downtown program, designed to catalyze new residential development through a 20-year tax abatement for commercial-to-residential conversions, with expectations to deliver 6.7 million square feet of residential use. (BisNow, Sept. 19)
  • Minneapolis took steps last week to simplify its office-to-residential conversion process by passing an ordinance that streamlines the review process, reduces project timelines, and pauses certain affordability requirements for five years. (CBS, Sept. 24)
  • San Francisco has seen limited success despite efforts to incentivize conversions. Only two projects totaling 165 units are underway, prompting Mayor London Breed and Supervisor Matt Dorsey to propose eliminating impact fees and affordable housing requirements for downtown conversions in key areas. (GlobeSt., Oct. 1)
  • California faced a setback this week when Governor Gavin Newsom vetoed a bill aimed at expediting the conversion of vacant office buildings into residential or mixed-use spaces. The legislation would have mandated by-right approval for adaptive reuse projects, streamlining the review process by bypassing environmental reviews and local zoning approvals. (GlobeSt., Oct. 1)
  • This week on the Walker Webcast, Dr. Peter Linneman (Leading Economist, Professor Emeritus, The Wharton School of Business) predicted there will be a push for back-to-office policies after the November elections, regardless who gains control of the White House. (Walker Webcast, Oct. 2)

Climate Risks and Opportunities

Workers on sustainable energy project on rooftop of building
  • Office-to-residential conversions are recognized universally as having positive climate impacts because they reduce “embodied” emissions in concrete, glass, and other construction materials relative to new projects built from the ground up. (Arup, Dec. 2023; Urban Green, Dec. 2023; NAIOP (April 2023)).
  • Expanding the use of clean energy tax credits, as proposed in the IRA, could further incentivize conversion projects, helping to reduce long-term operating costs and improve building resilience.
  • With tax policy debates at the forefront in Washington, The Roundtable submitted recommendations to Congressional tax leaders this week (see Tax story above), urging enhancements to the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean energy tax provisions in any future legislation. (Letter, Oct. 2)
  • The recommendations included expanding energy-efficient tax credits to cover low-emissions building equipment and allowing developers to transfer the 45L and 179D credits, which would help reduce housing costs and boost energy efficiency.
  • The Roundtable has also encouraged federal agencies to make key improvements to their existing low-interest loan programs to better support property conversions that support high-density, transit-oriented housing. (Roundtable Weekly, April 19)
  • A recent Morningstar report highlighted the growing importance of ESG considerations in real estate investment, with 67% of global asset owners acknowledging that ESG factors have become more material over the past five years. (CREFC, Oct. 1)

The Roundtable will continue to advocate for support at the federal level, such as the bipartisan Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act (H.R.9002) introduced in July, to create market-based tax incentives for office-to-residential conversions. These projects offer a promising but complex solution to both the commercial real estate market’s transformation and the housing shortage. With proper support, they could reshape and rebuild cities across the country.

Impact of Rate Cuts on CRE and Housing Markets

The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut rates renewed optimism in the commercial real estate market, following a prolonged period of high interest rates and economic headwinds. This monetary easing is seen as critical to the CRE sector’s path to recovery—reducing financing costs and helping stabilize property valuations.

Industry Insights

  • These predicted rate cuts, alongside lower bond yields, are expected to boost commercial real estate investment activity and asset values. (CBRE, Sept. 18)
  • Roundtable member Willy Walker (CEO, Walker & Dunlop) appeared on CNBC’s Squawk Box, to discuss the importance of removing barriers such as zoning restrictions to increase housing supply. “It’s going to be a very healthy market for commercial real estate as rates start to come down.” (Watch)
  • Roundtable member David O’Reilly (CEO, Howard Hughes Holdings) discussed the resurgence of new construction in the housing market on Fox Business, anticipating that home prices will stabilize in response to interest rates cuts, influencing both demand and affordability. He also highlighted the effects of prolonged high rates on pricing and market trends. “As long as those rates continue to trend lower… demand picks up, more sales occur, prices will remain steady as home builders continue to deliver more supply to meet that demand.” (Watch)

Housing Affordability at the Forefront

  • The Senate Budget Committee, chaired by Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), held a hearing this Wednesday, Sept. 25, on housing unaffordability. The hearing focused on the need for significant policy reform to boost housing supply, remove regulatory barriers to new construction, and deregulate land use and zoning. (Watch Hearing)
  • Chair Whitehouse introduced the Affordable Housing Construction Act, which aims to tackle the housing crisis by expanding the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) program, loosening financing requirements, and ensuring affordability for 50 years— an increase from the previous 30-year mark. (Sen. Whitehouse News Release)
  • The bill also pushes for more sustainable, energy-efficient, and accessible housing.

Rate cuts from the Fed are providing relief for both CRE and housing markets, but sustained recovery and resolution of the affordability crisis will require continued policy reform, increased housing supply, and greater collaboration between public and private sectors.

Real Estate Coalition Opposes Federal Rent Control Proposal

On Monday, a coalition of national real estate associations, including The Real Estate Roundtable, wrote to President Biden expressing strong opposition to recently proposed nationwide rent control measures. (Letter)

Key Points

  • Last week, the White House announced a nationwide rent control plan that aims to cap rent increases at 5%. Owners of rental housing would only be able to take advantage of depreciation write-offs if they limit annual rent increases to no more than 5%, effectively trading depreciation deductions for price controls. (Roundtable Weekly, July 19)
  • Negative impacts of rent control: Rent control consistently leads to instability in the housing market and reduced supply, undermining efforts to foster a healthy and equitable housing environment.
  • Economic consensus: Economists across the political spectrum widely agree that rent control is a discredited policy. Jason Furman, the former Obama administration’s top White House economist, asserts that rent control would worsen housing supply issues instead of solving them.
  • Disincentive for investment: Rent control discourages necessary housing investments, particularly in areas with limited affordable options. It disproportionately benefits higher-income renters, impeding access for lower-income households.

Coalition Recommendations

  • Increase housing subsidies: Instead of imposing rent control, the coalition urges the administration to increase subsidies for those in need and to work with housing providers on solutions that expand the affordable housing supply.
  • Support proven solutions: The coalition advocates for enhancing federal programs such as the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) and Section 8, which have been effective in creating and preserving affordable housing units.

Industry Testimony

  • On Wednesday, the House Financial Services Committee Subcommittee on Housing and Insurance held a hearing, “Housing Solutions: Cutting Through Government Red Tape” to discuss the nation’s housing affordability crisis and burdensome federal government reviews and permitting processes.
  • NMHC Chair Schloemer stated in his testimony, “Decades of research shows that rent regulation devastates rental housing quality and harms affordability. The Biden administration proposal to cap rents will not add a single new unit of housing, and, in fact worsens housing availability and quality.”
  • Hastening the permit approval process must be a critical part of any policy legislation aimed at increasing the supply of affordable housing. (NYT, July 8)

The Roundtable and the coalition will continue to educate policymakers about and push back against flawed rent control policies while advocating for bipartisan solutions to boost supply and affordability.

White House Calls on Congress to Enact Federal Rent Price Control Measure, Eliminate Depreciation Write-Offs to Help Reduce Housing Costs

This week, the White House unveiled a nationwide rent price control plan that calls on Congress to “pass legislation giving . . . landlords a choice to either cap rent increases on existing units at 5% or risk losing current valuable federal tax breaks.” (White House Fact Sheet)

While the package is focused on imposing flawed rent price control policies and eliminating long-standing depreciation write-offs, it also includes policies to help build more housing. (WSJ, July 16)

Housing Proposals

  • Under President Biden’s plan, beginning this year and for the next two years, owners of rental housing would only be able to take advantage of faster depreciation write-offs if they limit annual rent increases to no more than 5%, effectively trading depreciation deductions for rent price controls.
  • This would apply to landlords with over 50 units in their portfolio, covering more than 20 million units nationwide—nearly half the U.S. rental market. It would include an exception for new construction and substantial renovation or rehabilitation. (White House Fact Sheet)
  • While intended to make renting more affordable, these proposals would impede the production of much-needed housing, particularly for affordable units. (Bloomberg, July 17)
  • The Biden-Harris Housing Plan also includes initiatives to:
    • Call on all federal agencies to assess surplus federal land that can be repurposed to build more affordable housing;
    • Rehabilitate distressed housing, build more affordable housing, and revitalize neighborhoods; and
    • Authorize $325 million in Choice Neighborhoods grants under the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) to build new deeply-affordable homes and spur economic development in communities across the country.
  • The proposal would require congressional action to become law.

FHFA Proposed Tenant Protections

  • This is the first time tenant protections will be a standard component of Enterprise multifamily financing.   
  • These protections apply to future loans acquired by the Enterprises and would include:
    • Requiring 30-day notice before rent increases;
    • Requiring 30-day notice on lease expiration; and
    • Providing a 5-day grace period before imposing late fees on rental payments.

Industry & Roundtable Response

(L-R): Heidi Sommer (POLITICO), Jeffrey DeBoer (The Real Estate Roundtable), and Shannon McGahn (National Association of Realtors)
  • This week at the Republican National Convention, our National Real Estate Organizations (NREO) partnered with POLITICO to host a series of discussions on the elections, affordable housing, revitalizing cities, the commercial real estate industry, and proactive policy solutions. (Watch here)
  • The Roundtable’s President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer was a featured speaker alongside Shannon McGahn (National Association of Realtors), joining Heidi Sommer (POLITICO) for a discussion on affordable housing, upcoming tax priorities, interest rates, and the economy.
  • DeBoer stated in response to the administration’s recent rent cap proposal, “Rent control is fundamentally flawed and historically ineffective. Wage and price controls, even during wartime, have consistently failed to deliver the intended results. Implementing such measures now will only exacerbate the root cause of America’s housing problem by discouraging new housing development and reducing investment in existing housing.”

The Roundtable is developing comments on the proposed plans and will continue work to enact measures that will help spur the expansion of America’s affordable housing infrastructure.

Property Conversions Legislation Introduced

On Thursday, House Ways and Means Committee Members Mike Carey (R-OH) and Jimmy Gomez (D-CA) introduced the bipartisan Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act (H.R.9002), which would create a market-based tax incentive for converting older commercial buildings to residential use.

Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act

  • The bill is a positive step forward in the effort to modernize U.S. real estate, create new and affordable housing, and strengthen cities and neighborhoods that continue to suffer from the aftereffects of the pandemic and changing business needs. 
  • “Between high housing costs and the rise of remote work, formerly prosperous neighborhoods across the country are struggling,” said Rep. Carey (R-OH). “The solution is right in front of us. But even though vacant commercial and office space is sitting unused, converting these properties into housing is so expensive it is often uneconomical. This bill will allow communities to meet their residents’ need for affordable, abundant housing and allow American downtowns and main streets to thrive.” (Rep. Carey Press Release)
  • The bill would create a new and temporary 20% tax credit for qualified property conversion expenditures, modeled after the historic rehabilitation credit. (RER’S One-Page Summary)
  • The total credit authority would be limited to $15 billion, allocated by state housing finance agencies based on feasibility and impact.
  • Larger credits would be available for projects in rural areas, low-income census tracts, and economically distressed areas.
  • The credit could be stacked with other federal tax benefits, including LIHTC, the rehabilitation credit, and Opportunity Zone benefits. 

Roundtable Advocacy

  • The Real Estate Roundtable has supported similar versions of conversion legislation, such as the Revitalizing Downtowns Act (S. 2511, H.R. 4759), introduced by Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D-CA). The Roundtable has also worked closely with the White House on administrative actions designed to provide low-cost financing for conversion projects. (Roundtable Weekly, April 19)
  • “The Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act is a proactive, market-based policy measure that aims to breathe new life into underutilized commercial properties, create jobs, generate local property tax revenue, and help reinvigorate our nation’s cities and suburbs,” said Jeffrey D. DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable. “We commend the leadership of the bill sponsors for their vision and urge support for this critical bipartisan legislation.”
  • The bill addresses and incorporates most of the recommendations a Roundtable-led coalition had collectively made to the Revitalizing Downtowns Act in comment letters submitted in October 2022 and June 2024.  
  • Since then, many states and localities have taken bold action to support property conversion efforts.
  • Both letters are the product of a property conversions working group created by The Roundtable’s Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC). The working group has reviewed and considered the challenges and impediments confronting potential property conversion activities. (Roundtable Weekly, June 28)

The Roundtable’s Tax Policy Advisory Committee will continue working with policymakers to advance tax policies that encourage and facilitate property conversion efforts.

Real Estate Coalition Urges House Members to Support Bipartisan CRE Conversions Bill

A Roundtable-led coalition of 17 national real estate organizations wrote to members of the House of Representatives voicing their support for the introduction of the Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act, which would create a market-based tax incentive for converting older commercial buildings to residential use.  (Coalition letter)

 Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act

  • The House Ways and Means Committee Members Mike Carey (R-OH) and Jimmy Gomez (D-CA) will introduce the Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act in the coming weeks.
  • If enacted, the bill would be a step forward in the effort to modernize U.S. real estate, create new and affordable housing, and strengthen cities and neighborhoods that continue to suffer from the aftereffects of the pandemic and changing business needs. 
  • Currently, only 2% of vacant offices are undergoing the conversion process (CBRE). However, 15% of office buildings are suitable for residential conversion. (White House, Oct. 2023)
  • The bill would create a new and temporary 20% tax credit for qualified property conversion expenditures, modeled after the historic rehabilitation credit.
  • The total credit authority would be limited to $15 billion, allocated by state housing finance agencies based on feasibility and impact.
  • Larger credits would be available for projects in rural areas, low-income census tracts, and economically distressed areas.

Roundtable Advocacy

The Roundtable’s Tax Policy Advisory Committee Meeting
  • The Real Estate Roundtable has supported similar versions of conversion legislation, such as the Revitalizing Downtowns Act (S. 2511, H.R. 4759), introduced by Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D-CA) to encourage the conversion of older buildings into new uses.
  • The new bill addresses and incorporates most of the recommendations the coalition made collectively to the Revitalizing Downtowns Act in the October 2022 letter.  (June 2024 letter  | October 2022 letter)
  • Since then, many states and localities have taken bold action to support property conversion efforts.
  • Both letters are the product of a property conversions working group created by The Roundtable’s Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC). The working group has reviewed and considered the challenges and impediments confronting potential property conversion activities. 

The Roundtable’s Tax Policy Advisory Committee will continue to respond to legislative proposals affecting potential property conversion activities.

Housing Coalition Calls on Lawmakers to Address Rising Insurance Costs

On Monday, The Roundtable as part of a broad housing coalition wrote to policymakers offering solutions to address rising insurance premiums across the nation’s housing market and its significant impact on all stakeholders throughout the commercial real estate industry. (Letter)

Coalition Policy Solutions

  • The lack of affordability and availability of insurance options has both short- and long-term implications for the real estate industry’s ability to address the housing crisis.
  • The letter suggests several measures to mitigate these issues, including regulatory reforms, public-private partnerships, and innovative insurance products tailored toward affordable housing projects.
    • Federal Backstop for Catastrophic Coverage: A federal backstop, similar to terrorism risk and national flood insurance, could help stabilize the market.
    • Adjust Operating Cost Adjustment Factor (OCAF) Methodology at HUD: Use industry data for property and casualty insurers to reflect actual insurance costs for rental housing.
    • Modernize Insurance Requirements: Revise stringent insurance requirements for federally-backed loans to provide more flexibility.
    • Expand Federal Grants and Programs: Leverage existing federal programs to subsidize insurance costs and support resiliency investments.

Unprecedented Insurance Rates

  • The volatility in the insurance market, driven by more frequent natural catastrophes and inflation, has led insurers to raise premiums, increase deductibles, and limit coverage.
  • Rising insurance premiums significantly impact housing providers, developers, and renters across the U.S., exacerbating housing affordability challenges and disincentivizing providers from participating in the affordable housing market.
  • Insurance rates have surged dramatically, with property insurance rates increasing for 25 consecutive quarters and casualty insurance rates for 17.
  • Over the past three years, affordable rental housing communities have seen premium increases ranging from 30% to 100%.

  • An October 2023 survey and report, commissioned by the National Leased Housing Association (NLHA), found that affordable housing providers are facing much higher premiums, with nearly one in every three policies experiencing rate increases of 25% or more in the most recent renewal period.

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)

  • A recent report by the Joint Economic Committee Democrats found that the total annual economic burden of flooding in the United States is between $179.8 and $496 billion—equivalent to 1-2% of U.S. GDP in 2023. (JEC Report on Flooding)
  • Congress has enacted 30 short-term extensions of the NFIP. The most recent stopgap spending bill extended the NFIP’s funding through September 2024. (PoliticoPro, June 10)
  • The Roundtable has been a long-standing supporter of a long-term reauthorization of the NFIP with appropriate reforms.
  • A long-term reauthorization of the NFIP is essential for residential markets, overall natural catastrophe insurance market capacity, and the broader economy.

The Roundtable, along with its industry partners, continues to work constructively with policymakers and stakeholders to address commercial insurance gaps and rising costs through targeted policy solutions that can help alleviate the burden on housing providers and ensure the availability of affordable housing nationwide.