Government Shutdown Stalemate Deepens, Raising CRE Concerns

The federal government remains shut down for a second week as partisan gridlock over spending and health care continues in Washington. (Punchbowl News Oct. 15, 17 | Roll Call Oct. 14)

State of Play

  • Republicans and Democrats remain deadlocked, with no signs of progress toward reopening the government. The Senate on Thursday failed for the 10th time to advance a short-term funding bill passed by the House since the shutdown began Oct. 1. (NPR, Oct. 16)
  • In a 51–44 vote, senators again rejected a GOP-led continuing resolution (CR) that would have funded the government through Nov. 21. (CNBC, Oct. 15)
  • Democrats continue to insist that any funding measure must include an extension of enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies that are set to expire at the end of the year.
  • GOP leaders also remain at a standstill until the government reopens—Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) refusing to recall the House without a funding deal, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) said discussions on health care tax credits can begin only after the shutdown ends. (NPR, Oct. 9 | PoliticoPro, Oct. 6)
  • The Trump administration’s plan to lay off more than 10,000 federal employees during the shutdown has been temporarily blocked after a judge ruled the firings likely exceeded executive authority. (Roll Call, Oct. 15 | Bloomberg, Oct. 16)

Path Forward

  • As the shutdown enters its third week, lawmakers are weighing several potential exit paths, including a short-term CR, a handful of Democrats could defect to advance the GOP bill, a Trump–Schumer compromise, or a bipartisan “dual-vote” plan led by Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) to reopen the government and extend ACA subsidies for one year. (Punchbowl News, Oct. 16 | Bloomberg, Oct. 14)
  • The White House appears prepared for a prolonged shutdown, redirecting funds to sustain key programs and betting that public pressure will eventually force Democrats to adjust strategy. (Punchbowl News, Oct. 16)
  • Lawmakers on both sides warn the economic fallout will deepen if the impasse stretches into November, threatening programs vital to housing, infrastructure, and financial markets.

CRE Impact

  • Economy: Each week the government remains shut down is projected to cost the U.S. economy roughly $7 billion, according to EY-Parthenon Chief Economist Gregory Daco. (BisNow, Oct. 12)
  • GDP: U.S. gross domestic product could fall by 15 to 20 basis points for each week the shutdown persists, according to Marcus & Millichap, which noted that the immediate impact on CRE remains limited for now. (Marcus & Millichap)
  • Housing: The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) reportedly has confirmed federal funding for rental voucher assistance is available through the end of 2025, consistent with HUD’s contingency plan for certain programs to continue operations during the shutdown. (NAHRO, Oct. 16 | Roundtable Weekly, July 25)
  • Energy: EPA’s Portfolio Manager building energy benchmarking tool remains up and running. However, the agency’s website explains that ENERGY STAR resources “will not be updated regularly” during the lapse in appropriations and “many services may not be available.”
  • NFIP: The lapse of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) continues to delay property closings and financing in flood-prone regions. While existing claims can still be paid, new policies and renewals cannot be issued, complicating sales and dampening confidence in affected markets. (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 10)
  • Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA) is urging GOP leaders to hold a stand-alone vote to reopen the NFIP. Speaker Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) have resisted, saying the program will be reauthorized once the government reopens. (PoliticoPro, Oct. 16)
  • RER supports a long-term, sustainable NFIP reauthorization to avoid recurring market disruptions. (Roundtable Weekly, Sept. 19)

RER continues to urge Congress to act responsibly to reopen the government and restore critical housing, insurance, and economic programs essential to real estate investment and growth.

Flood Insurance Lapse Highlights Need for Long-Term Reform

The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) expired Oct. 1 as partisan gridlock in Washington dragged into a second week, halting new policies and renewals for millions of Americans and real estate transactions in flood-prone areas.

State of Play

  • The NFIP’s lapse stems from the broader government shutdown fight, with each party blaming the other for inaction. (E&E News, Oct. 8)
  • House Republicans say Democrats have repeatedly blocked their short-term funding bill, which includes a seven-week NFIP extension. Democrats counter that GOP leaders have refused to hold a stand-alone vote on reauthorization while keeping the House largely in recess.
  • Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) said the NFIP “will be reauthorized in due course,” but called the program’s lapse one of several “leverage points” in the broader negotiations. (E&E News, Oct. 8)
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) on Tuesday cited the NFIP in floor remarks for the first time since the shutdown began, calling it one of several programs Democrats are stalling by opposing the GOP’s plan to reopen the government.
  • Meanwhile, FEMA has paused NFIP operations, unable to issue new policies or renewals. The program also cannot ensure payment of claims if major flooding occurs during the shutdown.

Roundtable Advocacy

  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) continues to urge Congress to enact a sustainable, long-term NFIP reauthorization with appropriate reforms.
  • A robust and stable program is essential for residential markets, catastrophe insurance capacity, and the broader economy. (Roundtable Weekly, Sept. 19)
  • Lawmakers from both parties have long called for an overhaul and signaled interest in pursuing longer-term reforms to the program.
  • The rising cost of insurance premiums due to the growing number of billion-dollar natural disasters reinforces the importance of the NFIP.
  • While Congress has typically renewed the NFIP retroactively after past lapses, there is no guarantee this time. A delayed reauthorization could further disrupt real estate markets and delay policy effective dates. (NAHB, Oct. 1)

Housing Impact

  • The National Association of Realtors (NAR) estimates the lapse could stall or cancel about 1,400 home sales per day until the NFIP resumes operations. (NYT, Oct. 9)
  • “Each day that passes during the shutdown, potential real-life impacts will be felt in America’s housing market, which accounts for nearly 20% of the US economy,” said Shannon McGahn, (EVP and Chief Advocacy Officer, NAR) (Bloomberg, Oct. 9)
  • NFIP provides $1.3 trillion in flood insurance to 4.7 million policyholders across 23,000 communities. It underpins nearly 500,000 home sales annually, supports 1 million jobs, and contributes $70 billion to the U.S. economy. (NAR, Oct. 7)
  • While some private insurers are expanding their offerings, they still represent only a fraction of the market—and typically charge higher premiums, adding costs for homebuyers. (Bloomberg, Oct. 9)

Congressional leaders have vowed to revisit flood insurance reauthorization once the government restores funding. RER will continue to advocate for a long-term NFIP solution.

Government Shutdown Continues

The federal government shut down ten days ago, with no resolution in sight. (Punchbowl News, Oct. 9 | Oct. 10)

State of Play

  • On Thursday, Senate Democrats rejected for the seventh time, Republicans’ proposal to extend government funding through Nov. 21. (Roll Call, Oct. 8)
  • In response, GOP senators blocked Democrats’ competing plan to extend Affordable Care Act premium tax credits, reverse Medicaid cuts, and limit President Trump’s authority to rescind congressionally approved funds. (Punchbowl News, Oct. 7)
  • Top Democrats, led by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), are calling for bipartisan negotiations on health care, arguing that Republicans face growing pressure to renew expiring health care subsidies as part of any funding deal. (PoliticoPro, Oct. 6)
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) said he will not recall the House to Washington until Democrats agree to work with Republicans on a funding plan. (NPR, Oct. 9)
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) said he is open to discussions on health care tax credits only after the government reopens. “We said we’re willing to have those conversations, but it starts with ending the shutdown,” Sen. Thune said. (PoliticoPro, Oct. 6)

CRE Impact

IRS building in Washington, DC
  • While the shutdown poses broader economic risks, its immediate impact on commercial real estate remains limited, as most operations continue unaffected. A prolonged closure, however, could disrupt HUD rental subsidies, further delay economic data, and weigh on investor confidence, according to Marcus & Millichap. (Connect CRE, Oct. 7 | CNBC, Oct. 8)
  • The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) cannot issue new policies or renewals during the shutdown, threatening thousands of real estate transactions. The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) supports a long-term, sustainable NFIP reauthorization to avoid recurring market disruptions. (Roundtable Weekly, Sept. 19)
  • The shutdown is also stalling work on bipartisan priorities such as fiscal 2026 spending bills, energy legislation, and permitting reform. “One of the things that’s not getting done while the government is shut down is an appropriations process that allows us to fund the government the old-fashioned way, in the light of day,” said Sen. Thune. “We aren’t working on permitting reform, which should be a bipartisan priority.” (E&E News, Oct. 6)
  • At the IRS, nearly half the workforce has been furloughed as of Wednesday, though the agency will continue implementing President Trump’s recent tax cuts. (Politico, Oct. 8 | CNBC, Oct. 8)
  • The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) is operating with roughly one-third of its staff, heightening concerns about protections for the electric grid, water systems, and critical infrastructure amid rising cyber threats. (Washington Post, Oct. 2)
  • “Government shutdowns and temporary extensions of essential programs like the NFIP create avoidable uncertainty that disrupts real estate markets and undermines economic confidence,” said RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. “Congress should act responsibly by providing long-term solutions that protect communities and the American people, encourage investment, and sustain growth.” (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 3)

The longer the shutdown persists, the greater the risk of delayed projects, stalled investment, and uncertainty across real estate markets that depend on reliable federal programs.

Government Shutdown Deadline Nears

Congress has less than a week to keep the government open as an Oct. 1 shutdown looms. (Punchbowl News, Sept. 24)

State of Play

  • House GOP plan: A continuing resolution (CR) through Nov. 21 that would also extend the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). Senate Democrats blocked it. (Politico, Sept. 25)
  • Democratic plan: A shorter CR to Oct. 31 that adds priorities such as Affordable Care Act subsidies and reversing Medicaid cuts. Senate Republicans blocked it. (Punchbowl News, Sept. 23)
  • GOP leaders frame their plan as a clean extension to buy time to keep the government open while negotiations continue. Democrats say Republicans are ignoring urgent needs.
  • On Wednesday, President Trump canceled a planned meeting with Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY), rejecting their push to include healthcare funding in a deal to avert a shutdown. (AP News, Sept. 23)
  • In a social media post, he said no meeting with Democratic leaders “could possibly be productive.”
  • Rep. Jeffries also scheduled a caucus call on Friday to discuss “the path forward,” and a follow-up meeting in Washington on Sept. 29, despite the House being out of session. (Roll Call, Sept. 24)

Government Funding & CRE

  • Without congressional action, the NFIP will lapse on Sept. 30. Another short-term extension would be its 34th in eight years.
  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) supports a sustainable, long-term NFIP reauthorization with appropriate reforms. A robust program is essential for residential markets, catastrophe insurance capacity, and the broader economy.
  • The CR would also let the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) use funds to prevent evictions in the Tenant-Based Rental Assistance program. (PoliticoPro, Sept. 17)

Senate Democratic Leaders say they won’t support any House-passed funding bill unless GOP leaders negotiate, while Republicans argue there’s nothing to discuss—casting next week’s vote on a “clean” CR as the only path forward. (The Hill, Sept. 25)

Government Funding Deadline Looms as NFIP Nears Expiration; RER Hosts Town Hall

Senate Democrats on Friday blocked a House-passed stopgap spending bill that would have funded federal agencies for seven weeks, setting the stage for a potential Oct. 1 government shutdown.

  • The measure failed on a 44-48 vote, with only Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) joining Republicans in support of the proposal, which had cleared the House earlier in the day by a narrow 217-212 vote. (The Hill, Sept. 19)
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) said the Senate will reconsider the vote when lawmakers return from recess. (Roll Call, Sept. 19)
  • Earlier in the week, House Republicans introduced their continuing resolution (CR) to keep federal agencies open through Nov. 21, while Democrats countered with a plan extending funding only until Oct. 31. (Punchbowl News, Sept. 18)
  • Lawmakers may not return until Sept. 29, leaving less than 48 hours to avert a shutdown. (Punchbowl News | PoliticoPro, Sept. 19)

Government Funding & CRE

  • The House GOP bill would also extend the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) until Nov. 21. Without congressional action, the NFIP will expire on Sept. 30. If approved, the House GOP’s proposal would mark the NFIP’s 34th short-term extension in eight years.
  • Lawmakers from both parties have long called for an overhaul, and signaled interest in pursuing longer-term reforms to the program.
  • Policymakers in both chambers have signaled interest in pursuing longer-term reforms to NFIP. Chair of the Senate Banking Securities, Insurance and Investment Subcommittee, Mike Rounds (R-SD) said he expects “some reforms that can occur” this fall to put the program on a stronger financial footing. (PoliticoPro, Sept. 18)
  • The rising cost of insurance premiums due to the growing number of billion-dollar natural disasters reinforces the importance of the NFIP.
  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) has long supported a sustainable, long-term NFIP reauthorization with appropriate reforms. A robust program is essential for residential markets, catastrophe insurance capacity, and the broader economy.
  • The funding bill would also allow the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) to use available funds to prevent evictions of households served by the Tenant-Based Rental Assistance program. (PoliticoPro, Sept. 17)

RER Town Hall

  • RER hosted a virtual Town Hall this week, “How Today’s Political Climate Impacts Real Estate,” with Politico’s Jonathan Martin (Politics Bureau Chief and Senior Political Columnist)
  • The discussion was led by RER Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head of Blackstone Real Estate), RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer, and RER policy staff.
  • Martin shared his outlook on the 2026 and 2028 elections, the messaging challenges facing both parties, and shifting party identities.
  • He cautioned that a short-term government shutdown remains “more likely than not” as both parties seek leverage over Medicaid cuts and health care tax credits.

RER members also engaged in policy discussions on a number of policy priorities, including the implementation of the OB3 Act, Section 899 “revenge tax” concerns, Opportunity Zones, clean energy tax incentives, housing finance reform, and the future of TRIA.

Lawmakers Return to DC for Showdown Over Government Funding

Congress returned from recess this week to heavy debate over government spending and the looming risk of a shutdown. Meanwhile, a new push for permitting reform gained steam.

Back in Session

  • With Congress back in session, legislative leaders have less than 30 days to pass a funding bill. Votes from both Democrats and Republicans will be needed to keep the government open.

  • However, Democratic anger over the White House’s use of “pocket rescissions” has created additional complications. The White House has used these rescissions to impound billions of dollars in congressionally approved funding, sparking opposition from Democrats and even some Senate Republicans. (Punchbowl News | The Hill, Sept. 3)

  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) is seeking bipartisan support for an FY’26 appropriations package, but it remains uncertain whether Congress will pass all funding bills or a short-term continuing resolution before the Sept. 30 deadline. (Punchbowl News, Sept. 3)

  • In addition, the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) is set to lapse on Sept. 30 unless reauthorized. The importance of the NFIP to the health of commercial real estate markets has grown as the number of billion-dollar natural disasters and the cost of insurance premiums continue to rise. (Fact sheet)

  • In late July, the House and Senate Appropriations Committees passed provisions preserving funding for the ENERGY STAR program in FY’26.
  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) will continue working with policymakers and a broad coalition of organizations to ensure that these provisions are reflected in the final appropriations package. (Roundtable Weekly, July 25)

Roundtable on the Road

  • House GOP leaders, are pressing ahead with early talks on another major domestic policy package, though momentum is uncertain as hopes for passage by year’s end fade.
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune didn’t definitively rule out a second megabill in a brief interview but acknowledged “there would have to be a reason to do it.” (PoliticoPro, Sept. 4)
  • RER’s SVP & Counsel Ryan McCormick discussed these dynamics this week at the University of Utah Ivory-Boyer Real Estate Center Fall Board Retreat, where he outlined the OB3 Act’s impact on CRE, RER’s advocacy on tax policy, and what to expect this fall in Washington.

Permitting Reform Push

  • A bipartisan group of lawmakers, including House Natural Resources Chair Bruce Westerman (R-AR), Rep. Jared Golden (D-ME), and Senate Environment and Public Works Chair Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV), has not given up on efforts to reform the permitting process for energy infrastructure.

  • While the effort failed last year, Rep. Capito said that she’s seen a “convergence of clean energy folks and people like me who are all-of-the-above meeting together with an urgency.” (Politico, Sept. 2)

  • For years, energy projects of all kinds have been mired in slow, inefficient, and often years-long environmental reviews—among other issues. These problems have delayed the construction of critical infrastructure and made it more difficult for developers to realize their investments.

  • RER has strongly advocated for an “all of the above” energy strategy focused on ensuring an abundant supply of energy, advancing programs to avoid energy waste, strengthening the nation’s electric grid, streamlining federal permitting processes, and fostering innovation in artificial intelligence. Permitting reform is a critical part of achieving these objectives. (Fact sheet)

  • Permitting reform still faces an uphill battle—with policy differences on both sides of the aisle—but the renewed effort is a sign of positive momentum and continued urgency around the need for more energy infrastructure.

Looking Ahead

RER will keep engaging with policymakers on critical and emerging issues for the commercial real estate industry, particularly as momentum for permitting reform grows and congressional negotiations over the appropriations package heat up.

Lawmakers Push for NFIP Overhaul Amid Short-Term Reauthorization Plan

Rising disaster risks—from California wildfires to coastal flooding—are pushing property insurance costs to crisis levels, forcing insurers to retreat from high-risk markets. At the same time, Congress is working to pass another short-term extension of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) before the March 14 deadline, while acknowledging the urgent need for long-term reforms.

View from Congress

  • Congress has enacted over 32 short-term extensions of the NFIP.
  • Without comprehensive reforms, property owners and commercial real estate investors face increasing premiums, reduced coverage, and market uncertainty—issues that now threaten housing affordability and broader economic stability.
  • Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA), co-chair of the Senate Banking Committee’s NFIP working group, and House Financial Services Republicans warn that Congress must stop “kicking the can down the road” with temporary National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) extensions. (PoliticoPro, Feb. 25)
  • Lawmakers from both parties have long called for an overhaul.
  • Sen. Kennedy and Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-ND), a member of the Senate Banking Securities, Insurance, and Investment Subcommittee, recently told POLITICO they are open to incorporating other disaster coverage into NFIP renewal. (Politico, Feb. 13)
  • Potential changes to the program could include exploring a national catastrophe insurance program, combining flood, wildfire, and hurricane coverage into a single, federally backed plan. (Politico, Feb. 13)
  • Meanwhile, Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI) noted that the Senate Banking Securities, Insurance, and Investment Subcommittee has been exploring NFIP reforms for years.

Roundtable Advocacy

  • The Roundtable has been a long-standing supporter of a long-term reauthorization of the NFIP with appropriate reforms. (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 4)
  • Without a robust, long-term NFIP, property owners face escalating risks from future storms, leaving both homeowners and commercial real estate properties vulnerable.
  • A long-term reform and reauthorization of the NFIP is essential for residential markets, overall natural catastrophe insurance market capacity, and the broader economy.

BPC Report: The Growing Insurance Crisis

  • Key takeaways from the report: With insurer exits accelerating in high-risk markets, affordable housing developers are struggling—property insurance premiums for multifamily housing jumped 129% between 2018-2023, and disaster risk is intensifying—climate-driven disasters like wildfires, hurricanes, and flooding now account for 90% of property insurance claims.
  • The paper also presented potential opportunities for federal policymakers to help mitigate the impact of rising property insurance costs on housing affordability.
  • Some of BPC’s policy recommendations included: Expanding federal incentives for resilience upgrades, enhancing transparency and data-sharing on disaster risk, allowing insurers, developers, and lenders to make more informed decisions, and considering a federal catastrophe insurance backstop, similar to NFIP, to stabilize private insurance markets.

The Roundtable and its industry partners are actively engaging with policymakers and stakeholders to address commercial insurance gaps and rising costs while advocating for targeted policy solutions to ease the financial burden on housing providers nationwide.

Trump’s First 100 Days: Top Commercial Real Estate Policies to Watch

President Donald Trump’s second term is rapidly taking shape, with sweeping executive orders, quick nominations and bold policy announcements advancing in the first few days of his second administration. From tax policy to housing, immigration, and energy initiatives, the commercial real estate sector faces a dynamic and fast-changing landscape.

Tax Policy

  • TCJA Renewal: Efforts to extend key provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) are a key priority for the Trump administration and Republicans in Congress, with significant implications for commercial real estate.
  • A number of RER priorities are at stake, including maintaining the reduced tax rate on capital gains, extending Opportunity Zones and the Section 199A deduction, safeguarding like-kind exchanges and enacting federal tax incentives for property conversions to address the housing shortage. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 10)
  • The content of the reconciliation package continues to be heavily debated, with multiple areas of intra-party disagreement among Republicans to overcome in order to reach a deal. Concerns about pay-fors, the growing debt, budget cuts and proposals to eliminate the state and local tax deduction (SALT) remain. (Politico, Jan. 22)
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer appeared on Marcus & Millichap’s 2025 Economic & CRE Outlook webinar with a panel of industry leaders discussing the macro environment, the potential policies of the new administration and tariffs, affordable housing, tax policy expectations and more.

Tariffs

  • Proposed Tariffs: Trump has signaled a desire to implement sweeping tariffs, including a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada that could go into effect on Feb. 1. Trump has also considered a universal 20% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on China. (CNN, Jan. 21)

  • These measures are aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and addressing trade imbalances but could have ripple effects on construction costs and material availability. Any tariffs on imported materials like steel, aluminum and lumber are likely to drive up costs for developers and impact efforts to address the housing shortage. (BisNow, Jan. 17)

  • The scale and scope of the President’s tariff plans are in flux. Trump’s advisors have reportedly considered a phased-in tariff approach. It’s also possible that Trump makes use of the White House’s exemption authority to protect certain industries or goods deemed vital. (Bloomberg, Jan. 13)

Regulatory Work

  • President Trump also signed an executive order freezing all ongoing regulatory work across the federal government, halting the proposal or publication of new rules until reviewed and approved by his administration.
  • The freeze delays the effective date of recently published rules by 60 days, allowing time to decide which Biden-era regulations to keep, rewrite, or discard. (National Law Review, Jan. 23)
  • As with many other parts of the U.S. financial regulatory framework, the pending Basel III Endgame proposal may end up being reproposed with a capital neutral scheme, giving a potential boost to liquidity and credit capacity under the new Trump administration. 

Disaster Aid and NFIP Extension

  • California Fires: Congress and the new administration will soon need to provide billions of dollars in aid to assist those affected by the Los Angeles wildfires. The catastrophe could reach up to $275 billion, with then of thousands of homes and businesses will need to be rebuilt, making federal assistance essential. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 17)
  • NFIP: The increasing severity of natural disasters—including the devastating hurricanes last year—has increased the importance of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), whichis set to expire on March 14 unless reauthorized. The Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee held a hearing on Thursday to discuss the program’s renewal. (Politico, Jan. 22)

Housing

  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Privatization: Trump’s team is expected to resume efforts to privatize the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), which could significantly reshape multifamily financing markets.
  • Trump has nominated Bill Pulte, to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the GSEs—a move experts say is part of Trump’s push towards privatization. (CRE Daily, Jan. 17)
  • Deregulation to Spur Housing Development: Trump has pledged to roll back environmental and building regulations that hinder housing construction. This includes streamlining permitting processes, relaxing restrictions and accelerating project timelines.
  • Trump’s nominee for the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Scott Turner, has pledged to cut regulations that he says are stifling development. These efforts aim to increase housing supply, particularly in high-demand markets. (BisNow, Jan. 17)

Immigration and Labor

  • Deportations: Trump’s plans for mass deportations could have significant effects on the housing industry. Immigrants make up over 25% of the construction laborer workforce in the U.S., an industry where more workers are sorely needed—especially if affordable housing goals are to be met. (Bisnow, Jan. 17)
  • Depending on the extent of Trump’s deportation plans, CRE projects may face rising costs and delays if the construction workforce is severely affected. (NBC News, Jan. 21)
  • According to the Associated Builders and Contractors, the construction industry needs 439,000 new workers this year to meet rising demand. The need for construction resources is urgent, with Los Angeles requiring rebuilding after devastating fires and a nationwide surge in data center construction on the horizon. (Axios, Jan. 24)

Energy and Infrastructure

  • Emergency Powers: On the day Trump took office, he declared an energy emergency—giving the White House new authority to speed up the manufacture of certain products under the Defense Production Act, issue waivers on certain gasoline restrictions and restrict energy trade, among other powers—likely in service of Trump’s stated effort to “drill, baby, drill.” (The Hill, Jan. 20)
  • Data Centers: Trump also announced a $500 billion “Stargate” initiative designed to expand AI-focused data center infrastructure. The executive order prioritizes the use of fossil fuels to power these facilities and streamlines permitting processes for large-scale projects. (AP News, Jan. 22)
  • The investment could help hasten the buildout of high-demand data centers, which are limited by the availability of energy resources and infrastructure. (BisNow, Jan. 22)

Looking Ahead

With the whirlwind of activity coming out of the Trump administration and Congress, RER will continue to proactively evaluate policy developments as legislative efforts and White House implementation of executive orders progress.

Hurricanes Helene and Milton: The Case for NFIP Reform

Commercial real estate owners face soaring insurance costs as back-to-back hurricanes place financial strain on insurers and the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). The implications for property owners, especially in coastal areas, are severe, with insurance premiums skyrocketing and coverage harder to secure.

Storm Impact and Market Challenges

  • Milton is the second major storm to strike Florida in less than two weeks. The hurricane could cause over $50 billion in damages, with worst-case losses approaching $175 billion, according to Wall Street analysts. (CNBC, Oct. 8)
  • Potential insured losses from Milton are expected to be substantial and could amount to $60 billion, according to an S&P Global Inc. report. (Bloomberg, Oct. 9)
  • Without a robust, long-term NFIP, property owners face escalating risks from future storms, leaving both homeowners and commercial real estate properties vulnerable. (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 4)
  • With more severe storms expected, CRE property owners are struggling to cover rising costs—sometimes opting to forego upgrades or sell assets to manage financial pressures. (NYT, Oct. 8)
  • According to Marsh McLennan, premiums on commercial properties have increased by an average of 11% nationwide, and even more in storm-prone areas. The report also states that owners with “significant exposures and sustained losses” can expect rates to climb by 50% to 100%.
  • “High-magnitude catastrophe losses, the enduring challenges of the pandemic on the supply chain, fluctuations in the employment market, and rising inflation have banded together to create a perfect storm that threatens the sustainability of every property portfolio.” (Marsh McLennan report)

Federal Challenges and Response

  • Lawmakers remain divided on addressing FEMA’s potential disaster fund shortfall, which could jeopardize rebuilding infrastructure like roads and water facilities. Speaker Mike Johnson has indicated no plans for Congress to reconvene and approve more disaster funding. (PoliticoPro, Oct. 9)
  • The Biden administration is confident that FEMA’s disaster relief fund has sufficient resources to support recovery efforts for both Helene and Milton. However, they have raised concerns about the fund’s solvency through the remainder of the hurricane season ending in November. (PoliticoPro, Oct. 10)
  • Milton could also spark debate again in Washington, D.C., about the need for a national catastrophe insurance program. (PoliticoPro, Oct. 9)

NFIP Under Pressure

  • With nearly two million NFIP policies in areas hit by Helene and Milton, the program’s $15 billion in coverage may fall short, prompting debates over whether to raise the NFIP’s borrowing authority, forgive debt, or appropriate funds to cover policyholders’ claims. (Politico, Oct. 9)
  • House Financial Services Chair Patrick McHenry (R-NC) and the committee’s lead Democrat, Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA), have previously collaborated on long-term NFIP reform. However, they now hold differing opinions on how to free up funds for claims if needed.
  • Rep. McHenry leans toward raising the NFIP’s borrowing cap or appropriating additional funds, while Rep. Waters has consistently supported debt forgiveness. Currently, Congress has set a $30.4 billion limit on the NFIP’s borrowing capacity from the Treasury.
  • The Roundtable has been a long-standing supporter of a long-term reauthorization of the NFIP with appropriate reforms. These measures are essential for residential markets, overall natural catastrophe insurance market capacity, and the broader economy.

The Roundtable, along with its industry partners, continues to work constructively with policymakers and stakeholders to address commercial insurance gaps and rising costs. RER will continue advocating for targeted policy solutions that can help alleviate increased insurance costs for housing providers nationwide.

Hurricane Helene Highlights Need for National Flood Insurance Program Reform

Hurricane Helene wreaked havoc along the east coast, causing widespread flooding and over $20 billion in damages to homes, businesses, and infrastructure. The storm underscored the critical need to reform the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which is set to expire in December.

Hurricane Helene Damages

  • The frequency of severe weather events continues to rise, yet many communities are underinsured or entirely without flood coverage.
  • Without a robust, long-term NFIP, property owners face escalating risks from future storms, leaving both homeowners and commercial real estate properties vulnerable.
  • The NFIP is the primary source of flood coverage in the U.S., relied upon by 4.7 million properties in high-risk areas. (Reuters, Oct.3)
  • Moody’s Analytics estimates the storm caused $15 billion to $26 billion in property damage, as well as an additional $5 billion to $8 billion in lost economic output. (Washington Post, Sept. 29)
  • Moody’s RMS Event Response is preparing a more precise estimate of the insured losses caused by Hurricane Helene that will be released in the coming weeks. (Fox Business, Sept. 30)

Roundtable Advocacy

  • The Roundtable, along with nine industry organizations, wrote to Congress last week urging them to extend the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) before its Sept. 30 expiration. (Letter)
  • As part of the CR package passed last week, the NFIP was extended until Dec. 20.
  • Congress has enacted over 31 short-term extensions of the NFIP. The Roundtable has been a long-standing supporter of a long-term reauthorization of the NFIP with appropriate reforms.
  • A long-term reform and reauthorization of the NFIP is essential for residential markets, overall natural catastrophe insurance market capacity, and the broader economy.

The Roundtable, along with its industry partners, continues to work constructively with policymakers and stakeholders to address commercial insurance gaps and rising costs. The Roundtable will continue advocating for targeted policy solutions that can help alleviate increased insurance costs for housing providers nationwide.