
The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted this week to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.5 percent to 3.75 percent, as policymakers weigh persistent inflation, geopolitical risks, and mixed economic signals.
Key Takeaways
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current stance on monetary policy is “appropriate” as the economy continues to expand at a solid pace. (Powell press conference, March 18)
- Price pressures remain above target. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) rising 2.8 percent annually, with core inflation at 3.0 percent, reflecting ongoing impacts from tariffs and price increases for goods. (Powell press conference, March 18)
- Labor market conditions have stabilized but softened at the margins. Job growth remains subdued while unemployment has held at 4.4 percent in recent months. (Powell press conference, March 18)
Policy Outlook
- Fed officials reiterated that future rate decisions will remain “data dependent” and emphasized that monetary policy is not on a preset course. (Federal Reserve statement, March 18)
- Markets now expect a later timeline for any additional easing. Current pricing points to late 2026 as the earliest likely window for another cut, given persistent inflation and broader global uncertainty. (CNBC, March 17)
- Policymakers also signaled they will be cautious in reacting to short-term shocks. Recent energy price increases may lift headline inflation in the near term, but the Fed appears inclined to wait for clearer evidence before changing course. (Reuters, March 18)
- Political pressure continues to surround the central bank, including renewed calls from President Trump for lower rates. Even so, Fed leaders have maintained that economic conditions, not politics, will guide policy decisions. (CNBC, March 17 | Reuters, March 18)
- For commercial real estate, this environment continues to present challenges. Higher interest rates are weighing on valuations, constraining refinancing activity, and limiting transaction volume.
- Chair Powell also noted that housing sector activity remains weak. (Powell press conference, March 18)
Congressional Hearing on Fed Independence and Debt Pressures

- The House Financial Services Task Force on Monetary Policy, Treasury Market Resilience, and Economic Prosperity held a hearing this week titled, “Revisiting the Treasury-Fed Accord.” The discussion focused on the historical framework governing Fed independence, the risks of fiscal dominance, and whether updated coordination between the Treasury and the Fed is needed. (Press release, March 19)
- Task Force Chairman Frank Lucas (R-OK) emphasized the need to clarify institutional boundaries, stating Congress should encourage “a formal dialogue between the Fed and Treasury on the appropriate boundaries of their authority… while reinforcing monetary policy independence.” (Press release, March 19)
- Lawmakers and witnesses also warned that rising federal debt could pressure interest rates and inflation. As Thomas Hoenig, Distinguished Senior Fellow, The Mercatus Center at George Mason University, noted, continued deficits put “strain on the markets” and “upward pressure on interest rates.” (Press release, March 19)
RER will continue to track monetary policy developments and engage policymakers on the need for stable capital markets, access to credit, and policy solutions that support long-term economic growth and real estate investment.



























