Fed Holds Rates Steady Amid Heightened Uncertainty and Inflation Risks

The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted this week to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.5 percent to 3.75 percent, as policymakers weigh persistent inflation, geopolitical risks, and mixed economic signals.

Key Takeaways

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current stance on monetary policy is “appropriate” as the economy continues to expand at a solid pace. (Powell press conference, March 18)
  • Price pressures remain above target. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) rising 2.8 percent annually, with core inflation at 3.0 percent, reflecting ongoing impacts from tariffs and price increases for goods. (Powell press conference, March 18)
  • Labor market conditions have stabilized but softened at the margins. Job growth remains subdued while unemployment has held at 4.4 percent in recent months. (Powell press conference, March 18)

Policy Outlook

  • Fed officials reiterated that future rate decisions will remain “data dependent” and emphasized that monetary policy is not on a preset course. (Federal Reserve statement, March 18)
  • Markets now expect a later timeline for any additional easing. Current pricing points to late 2026 as the earliest likely window for another cut, given persistent inflation and broader global uncertainty. (CNBC, March 17)
  • Policymakers also signaled they will be cautious in reacting to short-term shocks. Recent energy price increases may lift headline inflation in the near term, but the Fed appears inclined to wait for clearer evidence before changing course. (Reuters, March 18)
  • Political pressure continues to surround the central bank, including renewed calls from President Trump for lower rates. Even so, Fed leaders have maintained that economic conditions, not politics, will guide policy decisions. (CNBC, March 17 | Reuters, March 18)
  • For commercial real estate, this environment continues to present challenges. Higher interest rates are weighing on valuations, constraining refinancing activity, and limiting transaction volume.

Congressional Hearing on Fed Independence and Debt Pressures

  • The House Financial Services Task Force on Monetary Policy, Treasury Market Resilience, and Economic Prosperity held a hearing this week titled, “Revisiting the Treasury-Fed Accord.” The discussion focused on the historical framework governing Fed independence, the risks of fiscal dominance, and whether updated coordination between the Treasury and the Fed is needed. (Press release, March 19)
  • Task Force Chairman Frank Lucas (R-OK) emphasized the need to clarify institutional boundaries, stating Congress should encourage “a formal dialogue between the Fed and Treasury on the appropriate boundaries of their authority… while reinforcing monetary policy independence.” (Press release, March 19)
  • Lawmakers and witnesses also warned that rising federal debt could pressure interest rates and inflation. As Thomas Hoenig, Distinguished Senior Fellow, The Mercatus Center at George Mason University, noted, continued deficits put “strain on the markets” and “upward pressure on interest rates.” (Press release, March 19)

RER will continue to track monetary policy developments and engage policymakers on the need for stable capital markets, access to credit, and policy solutions that support long-term economic growth and real estate investment.

Federal Regulators Release Revised Basel III Endgame Proposal

The Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) on Thursday unveiled a substantially revised Basel III Endgame proposal, replacing the 2023 framework that drew broad industry opposition. (WSJ | Fed Board Memo, March 19)

State of Play

  • The revised proposal would reduce capital requirements for the largest U.S. banks by 2.4% overall. (PoliticoPro, March 19)
  • The package would also replace the dual-track capital framework for the largest banks with a single approach, revise the G-SIB surcharge, and lower risk weights for mortgages and mortgage servicing assets. (ABA Banking Journal, March 19)
  • Regulators said the changes are intended to align capital with risk better, preserve safety and soundness, and support lending and other financial intermediation activities across economic conditions. (Fed Board Memo, March 19)
  • The interagency proposal would raise capital requirements by an estimated 1.4% under the revised Basel framework, but that increase would be more than offset by a 3.8% reduction in the G-SIB surcharge for the largest U.S. banks, for a net 2.4% decline overall.
  • Midsize banks would be allowed to decrease their capital buffers by an average of 5.2%, including stress-test revisions, and smaller banks by 7.8%. (WSJ, March 19 | AAF, March 20)
  • Regulators said the revised framework would also better support traditional lending and reduce incentives for activity to migrate outside the regulated banking system, including through lower risk weights for mortgages and mortgage servicing assets. (OCC News Release, Mar. 19)

Why It Matters

  • For commercial real estate, the reset could ease regulatory pressure that threatened to constrain credit for real estate lending, mortgage activity, and other capital-intensive transactions.
  • “Lowering the amount of capital held by banks would give them more money to deploy into the economy, potentially boosting growth,” said Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, who led the central bank’s efforts to craft the proposal. (Fed Press Release, March 19)
  • House Financial Services Committee Chairman French Hill (R-AR) and Subcommittee on Financial Institutions Chairman Andy Barr (R-KY) said the agencies had moved toward a “more balanced Basel III framework,” adding that right-sized capital standards are critical to preserving lending capacity, competitiveness, and access to credit. (Reps. Hill, Barr Statement, March 19)

Roundtable Advocacy

  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) has consistently opposed the original Basel III proposal, citing its potential negative impact on available credit capacity for commercial real estate transactions, market liquidity, and economic growth. (Roundtable Weekly, Nov. 2023; Jan. 2024; Mar. 2024)
  • In December, RER and a coalition of leading business trade organizations urged prudential regulators to examine and modernize large bank capital requirements so they continue supporting consumers, businesses, and the broader U.S. economy. (Letter, Dec. 2) (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 5)
  • The coalition letter underscored the negative economic impacts of inappropriately calibrated capital rules, highlighted risks to American competitiveness, and commended ongoing agency efforts to improve the framework. (Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 20)

The agencies will accept comments on the proposed rules until June 18, and RER’s Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) looks forward to members’ input as it prepares comments on the proposal.

IRS Relief Expands Real Estate’s Access to Bonus Depreciation Tax Benefit

IRS building in Washington, DC

The IRS and Treasury Department this week issued new guidance allowing real estate companies to withdraw prior elections that had prevented many from fully benefiting from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s (OB3 Act) restored 100% bonus depreciation provision. Revenue Procedure 2026-17 outlines how taxpayers may revoke those elections under Section 163(j), clearing the way for broader use of immediate expensing across commercial real estate. (Bloomberg, March 18)

Why It Matters

  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) has urged Treasury to allow real estate owners who previously elected out of strict limitations on the deductibility of business interest to withdraw or amend those elections. This would enable them to fully benefit from the OB3 Act’s restored bonus depreciation benefit. (Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 6)
  • Under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA), an electing real property trade or business (RPTOB) is exempt from the Section 163(j) limit on business interest deductibility, but must use the alternative depreciation system to recover the cost of its investment. As a result, electing RPTOBs are ineligible for bonus depreciation on leasehold and nonresidential interior property improvements.
  • Beginning in 2022, the Section 163(j) business interest limitation tightened, and starting in 2023, bonus depreciation began to phase out. Those two changes led many real estate owners to make the RPTOB election.
  • The OB3 Act reversed both provisions by restoring the original TCJA parameters for Section 163(j) and permanently extending 100% bonus depreciation. While that was a major positive development for new real estate investment, it left existing property owners locked into irrevocable RPTOB elections made under prior law.
  • Revenue Procedure 2026-17 addresses that problem by allowing taxpayers to retroactively withdraw an RPTOB election for taxable years 2022, 2023, or 2024. If a real estate owner withdraws the election under the revenue procedure, the owner is treated as if the election had never been made.
  • This change makes 100% bonus depreciation available to a much larger share of U.S. commercial real estate, ensures that property owners are not penalized for elections made under a tax regime that no longer applies, and should support additional capital formation.
  • The revenue procedure also provides guidance on the administrative steps for withdrawing an election, partnership filing requirements, and procedures for amending returns for intervening years.

RER Advocacy

  • In an Oct. 17, 2025, letter, RER wrote to Treasury urging guidance allowing real estate businesses to amend or revoke prior RPTOB elections to ensure the OB3 Act’s restored 100 percent bonus depreciation provision supports real estate investment, job creation, and economic growth. (Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 6)
  • The letter emphasized that clear implementing rules will help bonus depreciation “facilitate the modernization and repurposing of real estate assets,” including underutilized offices, shopping centers, hotels, and mixed-use properties. (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 17)

Treasury’s action addresses a key transition issue created by the new law. It helps ensure that restored bonus depreciation can work as intended across a broader share of commercial real estate investment.

House Weighs Next Steps on ROAD to Housing Act as White House Issues Housing Executive Orders

The Senate’s overwhelming passage of the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act last week has shifted attention to the House, where lawmakers are weighing how to reconcile the Senate bill with the House-passed housing package approved in February.  (PoliticoPro, March 17 | Politico, March 19)

State of Play

  • The House and Senate remain at odds over how to advance the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, with House Republicans threatening a formal conference to force negotiations while Senate leaders hope the House will ultimately accept the Senate-passed bill.
  • The Senate passed the bill 89-10 on March 12. They then sent it back to the House, which had already passed its own bipartisan housing package—the Housing for the 21st Century Act—by 390-9 on February 9.
  • The Senate-passed bill preserves much of the prior ROAD to Housing bill’s framework and includes several provisions intended to boost housing supply.
  • The Senate version also includes Section 901, which would restrict additional single-family home acquisitions by institutional investors that directly or indirectly own at least 350 homes and require owners to sell build-to-rent (BTR) homes within seven years or face an onerous penalty. The Section also provides unusually broad regulatory authority to the Treasury Department to address “market disruptions” and other situations that could create troubling future regulatory actions. (Roundtable Weekly, March 13 | Forbes, March 17)
  • House Financial Services Chairman French Hill (R-AR) told CNBC’s Squawk Box he is optimistic the House and Senate can work through differences in their housing bills, but stressed that the Senate text contains “some real problems” that need to be corrected. He pointed specifically to the build-to-rent provision requiring homes to be sold within seven years, which he said would undermine efforts to increase housing supply. (Watch Squawk Box CNBC, March 18)

Executive Orders – Housing

  • President Trump issued two executive orders aimed at boosting housing construction and expanding mortgage access, as the House and Senate work through differences over the ROAD Act. (EO Construction | EO Mortgage, March 13)
  • The administration said the orders are intended to reduce regulatory burdens, increase supply, and improve credit access for qualified borrowers. (WSJ, March 13)
  • The construction order, “Removing Regulatory Barriers to Affordable Home Construction,” directs federal agencies to revise or eliminate requirements related to environmental reviews, energy conservation standards for manufactured and federally financed housing, and historic preservation, while directing HUD and the White House Domestic Policy Council to develop best practices for state and local governments to increase housing supply and affordability. (EO Construction, Mar. 13)
  • The mortgage order, “Promoting Access to Mortgage Credit,” is intended to expand access to mortgage credit, particularly through community banks and smaller lenders. (EO Mortgage, March 13)
  • The EOs reinforce the administration’s broader housing message and overlap with parts of both congressional bills focused on cutting red tape, supporting community banks, and expanding supply. (PoliticoPro, March 13)

RER & Industry Advocacy

  • In March, RER joined a series of coalition letters urging senators to remove or revise Section 901, warning that the seven-year sale requirement would effectively eliminate the production of BTR housing. (BisNow, March 12) (Letter, March 5 | Letter, March 13)
  • Last week, RER President and CEO Jeffrey D. DeBoer sent senators an analysis warning that the bill’s forced-sale provision raises serious constitutional concerns and would likely trigger years of litigation. (RER Analysis, March 10)
  • DeBoer stated, “RER supports many provisions in the Senate-passed 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act that would help expand housing supply and reduce barriers to homeownership. But the bill’s forced-disposition provision for build-to-rent would discourage investment in new rental housing and raise serious constitutional concerns. As the House takes up the bill, RER urges lawmakers to remove that language and keep the focus on increasing housing supply and affordability. (NMHC & NAA Statement | NAHB Statement, March 12)

RER will continue urging lawmakers to preserve the bill’s pro-supply provisions while removing language that would reduce rental housing production and chill the capital formation needed to address the nation’s housing shortage.

In the News: Roundtable TPAC Chair Urges Treasury to Modernize Foreign Investment Tax Rules, Preserve U.S. Access to Foreign Capital

A new Bloomberg op-ed by RER Tax Policy Advisory Committee Chair Joshua Parker (Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Ancora) reinforces The Real Estate Roundtable’s (RER) push for Treasury to modernize Section 892 regulations without discouraging sovereign investment in U.S. real estate and other long-term assets. (Bloomberg Tax, March 11)

Op-Ed Highlights

RER Tax Policy Advisory Committee Chair Joshua Parker
  • Section 892 of the tax code generally exempts investment income earned by foreign governments, including sovereign wealth funds, from U.S. income tax. The 892 exemption does not apply, however, if the foreign government effectively controls the U.S. business or is deemed to be engaged in a commercial activity.
  • Parker writes that Treasury’s regulatory effort is “constructive and necessary,” but cautions that the rules must distinguish between legitimate investor stewardship and effective control of a business. (Bloomberg Tax, March 11)
  • The op-ed argues that Section 892 needs to catch up with major changes in capital markets, including the growth of private credit, direct lending, and co-investment strategies that were not significant features of the market when the statute was enacted.
  • Parker emphasizes that policymakers should not “sweep fundamentally different forms of investor participation into the same regulatory framework.
  • Responsible investors “must exercise fiduciary oversight, manage risk, and ensure disciplined capital deployment,” Parker adds. Customary minority protections such as consent rights, veto rights, and approval of extraordinary actions are forms of stewardship, not day-to-day business control.

Why It Matters

  • Since 2011, foreign governmental investors have invested more than $100 billion in U.S. commercial real estate. (Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 13)
  • Foreign capital invested in the U.S. has supported housing supply, infrastructure development, research facilities, and place-based economic growth. (Bloomberg Tax, March 11| RER Letter, Feb. 12)

RER Advocacy

  • In February, RER submitted a comment letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on the Section 892 regulations and proposed rules, urging clear grandfathering rules and changes to prevent disruptions to sovereign investment in U.S. real estate. (Letter, Feb. 12 | Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 27)

RER will continue engaging Treasury to ensure the final rules provide clarity for investors while avoiding unintended disruptions to U.S. real estate capital formation.

Senate Passes ROAD to Housing Act as Industry Urges Changes to BTR Language

The Senate passed the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act on Thursday in an 89-10 vote, advancing one of the most significant federal housing packages in years and setting up the next phase of negotiations with the House. (Multi-Housing News, March 13 | BisNow, March 12)

State of Play

  • The Senate-passed bill preserves much of the prior ROAD to Housing bill’s framework and includes several provisions intended to boost housing supply. (Politico, March 12)
  • The package would streamline project reviews, raise FHA multifamily loan limits, support manufactured housing, and encourage additional housing development in designated Opportunity Zones. (Roundtable Weekly, March 6)
  • The final Senate text includes Section 901, which would restrict additional single-family home acquisitions by institutional investors defined as entities that directly or indirectly own at least 350 homes. (Multifamily Dive, March 12)
  • It also includes a seven-year forced disposition requirement that would require owners to sell build-to-rent (BTR) homes they develop to another private party or pay an onerous penalty. (PoliticoPro, March 10)
  • Real Estate Roundtable (RER) President and CEO Jeffrey D. DeBoer stated, “RER supports many provisions in the Senate-passed 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act that would help expand housing supply and reduce barriers to homeownership. But the bill’s build-to-rent forced disposition provision would discourage investment in new rental housing and raise serious constitutional concerns. As the House takes up the bill, RER urges lawmakers to remove that language and keep the focus on increasing housing supply and affordability. (NMHC & NAA Statement | NAHB Statement, March 12)
  • RER has warned that the bill’s treatment of BTR housing raises significant concerns under the Fifth Amendment Takings Clause and the Supreme Court’s decision in Kelo v. City of New London. (RER Analysis, March 10 | WSJ, March 9)
  • A federal law compelling one private party to sell property it owns directly to another private party, without government initiation of eminent domain proceedings, would be without precedent.
  • If enacted, the BTR language would almost certainly invite years of constitutional litigation involving property owners, renters, and the federal government.

Congressional Concerns

  • House Financial Services Chairman French Hill (R-AR) called the Senate vote an “important step,” while cautioning that lawmakers still need to “get the details right” and address concerns raised by House members. (Politico, March 12)
  • Sen. Brian Schatz (D-HI) criticized the investor language on the Senate floor, calling it a “drafting error” and warning it could undermine housing production. (Watch Schatz Speech, March 11)
  • “I will stipulate that there are a lot of good things in this bill that are kind of on the pro-housing supply side, but what we are about to do is essentially ban a specific kind of housing,” said Sen. Schatz. (Barrons, March 11 | NBC News, March 12)
  • Sen. Schatz also said the bill could interfere with LIHTC projects, including affordable single-family developments, if the language is not revised.
  • Rep. Mike Flood (R-NE) has also warned that the Senate bill’s BTR provision could “crush an industry” that produces roughly 50,000 homes a year. (PoliticoPro, March 11)

What the Research Shows

  • Analysis has reinforced the concern that restricting institutional capital may do little to improve affordability while creating new supply problems.
  • RER has consistently emphasized that expanding housing supply is the most effective path to improving affordability, as research shows affordability pressures are driven primarily by supply shortages, construction costs, and mortgage ratesnot institutional ownership levels. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 9 | Jan. 16)
  • Recent analysis from AEI and Cato indicated that driving institutional capital out of housing is unlikely to improve affordability and may instead reduce investment, shrink supply, and leave Treasury with broad discretion over favored and disfavored forms of housing investment. (AEI, March 10 | CATO Institute, March 4)
  • According to analysis by The Pew Charitable Trusts, Section 901 could sharply curtail build-to-rent housing, which has recently added 70,000 to 130,000 homes annually, by undermining the financial viability of those projects, displacing renters, and reducing new single-family construction starts by 100,000 or more homes a year. (Pew, March 10)

RER & Industry Advocacy

  • In March, RER joined a series of coalition letters urging senators to remove or revise Section 901, warning that the seven-year sale requirement would effectively eliminate the production of BTR housing. (PoliticoPro, March 10 | BisNow, March 12; Letter | Bisnow | Politico, March 5; Letter, March 9)
  • This week, RER President and CEO Jeffrey D. DeBoer sent senators an analysis warning that the bill’s forced-sale provision raises serious constitutional concerns and would likely trigger years of litigation. (RER Analysis, March 10)
  • In a letter sent today to House leadership, RER and other national organizations thanked the House for advancing landmark housing legislation while urging lawmakers to amend Section 901 before final passage. (Letter, March 13)
  • The letter warns that the Senate-passed language would effectively eliminate the production of BTR housing and take critically needed new housing units off the table at a time of severe affordability and supply pressures. (Letter, March 13)
  • The coalition also argued that BTR homes expand rental choices for families seeking more space and flexibility, and that forcing providers to sell those homes would displace renters, reduce supply, and undermine the bill’s broader pro-housing goals.

What’s Next

  • The House would need to pass the Senate’s version or convene with the upper chamber to combine the bills into one piece of legislation before it heads to the president’s desk. (Politico, March 12)
  • “If the White House wants the House to pick up the bill and pass it, they’ll probably have to make that argument to the House leadership,” Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) said Thursday. (Politico, March 12)

RER will continue urging lawmakers to preserve the bill’s pro-supply provisions while removing language that would reduce rental housing production and chill the capital formation needed to address the nation’s housing shortage.

Roundtable Proposes Revenue Procedure to Address Opportunity Zone Transition

The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) on March 6 submitted proposed guidance to the U.S. Department of the Treasury and urged adoption of safe harbor rules to support continued investment in Opportunity Zones as the original OZ census tract designations phase out under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). (Letter, Revenue Procedure, March 6)

Why It Matters

  • OZ incentives have helped drive private investment, job creation, and redevelopment in underserved communities since the enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017.
  • The approaching expiration of the original OZ designations creates uncertainty for long-term investments and development projects already in progress.
  • For example, it is unclear how opportunity funds and OZ businesses can continue satisfying location-based statutory and regulatory compliance tests after an original tract designation expires.
  • The uncertainty is having a chilling effect on OZ investment, discouraging new housing development and other productive real estate activity from moving forward.
  • RER’s proposal responds to a structural gap in current guidance and offers specific language that Treasury and the IRS could use to establish a safe harbor for qualifying investments, including guardrails to prevent abusive transactions while protecting capital formation. (Letter, Revenue Procedure, March 6)
  • Transitional administrative guidance would support continued housing construction, economic growth, and community revitalization as the program shifts to the permanent framework enacted under OBBBA.

RER Recommendations

  • To resolve this issue, the draft Revenue Procedure would establish a safe harbor under which an expired tract would be treated as a “Grandfathered QOZ” for specified compliance purposes unless a disqualifying event occurs.
  • Qualifying funds and businesses could continue meeting statutory requirements if projects began or satisfied written planning and capital deployment standards before expiration.
  • A clearly defined safe harbor would unlock frozen capital and, combined with the beneficial OZ reforms enacted in OBBBA, support construction of new and affordable housing and long-term economic development in disadvantaged communities.

RER Advocacy

  • In December 2025, RER separately urged Treasury and the IRS to provide expedited guidance warning that unresolved tax treatment questions could significantly reduce OZ investment and capital formation in 2026. (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 19)
  • The Dec. 2025 letter emphasized that uncertainty surrounding expiring census tract designations could delay projects, discourage new fund formation, and undermine housing production and community development efforts. (Letter, Dec. 19)

The proposed guidance was developed by the RER’s Opportunity Zone Working Group. Principal drafters included KPMG’s Orla O’Connor and Michael McMahon, Deloitte’s Gary Hecimovich and Adam Wallwork, and Greenberg Traurig’s Sandy Presant. RER will continue encouraging Treasury and the IRS to issue timely guidance that sustains Opportunity Zone investment and keeps housing and economic development projects on track in underserved communities.

Senate Housing Package Advances as Investor Ban Draws Opposition

The Senate this week moved forward with the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act. This sweeping bipartisan package combines House and Senate housing provisions with the Trump administration’s push to restrict large institutional investors from buying single-family homes. (BisNow, March 3 | March 6 | RER Statement, March 4)

State of Play

  • The measure cleared an initial procedural vote, 84-6, after Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott (R-SC) and Ranking Member Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) released updated legislative text. A second vote on Wednesday, 90-8, moved the package closer to final action.  (Politico, March 2)
  • The latest Senate text largely preserves the prior ROAD to Housing framework, while adding a new provision to limit additional single-family home purchases by large institutional investors. The bill defines a large institutional investor as a company that owns 350 or more homes and incorporates exemptions, including for build-to-rent housing.
  • The White House said President Trump’s advisers would recommend signing it in its current form. (BisNow, March 3)
  • The broader package also encompasses provisions to streamline reviews for projects, raise FHA multifamily loan limits, support manufactured housing, and encourage additional housing development in Opportunity Zones. (BisNow, March 3)
  • Several senators had not reviewed the updated legislative text before Monday’s vote because it was released shortly beforehand. (Politico, March 2)

Congressional Opposition

  • Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) said he was not supportive of the investor provision if it mirrors the administration’s earlier crackdown, warning it would move policymakers “further away from producing affordable housing.”
  • Today, House Financial Services Committee Chair French Hill (R-AR) warned that his chamber is not prepared to support the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act. “There are members in the House whose provisions and views were not accounted for in the current iteration of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act,” Hill said. (Punchbowl News Vault, March 6)
  • Hill is “optimistic” that those concerns can be addressed. Absent that, Hill said “further negotiations, including a possible conference, may be needed.” (Punchbowl News Vault, March 6)

What the Research Shows

  • Analysis has reinforced the concern that restricting institutional capital may do little to improve affordability while creating new supply problems.
  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) has consistently emphasized that expanding housing supply is the most effective path to improving affordability, as research shows affordability pressures are driven primarily by supply shortages, construction costs, and mortgage ratesnot institutional ownership levels. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 9 | Jan. 16)
  • A recent Brookings analysis concluded that banning large institutional purchases of single-family rentals would yield only a very small increase in homes available for purchase, while leading to higher rents for families who need or prefer renting. (Brookings Institute, Feb. 23)
  • The same analysis warned that unexpected limits on investor activity could reduce future capital commitments to the sector and weaken property rights in ways that discourage new supply. (Brookings Institute, Feb. 23)
  • A Cato Institute analysis similarly argued that the proposed Section 901 provision in the bill would give the Treasury Department broad discretion to distinguish among favored and disfavored forms of housing investment. (CATO Institute, March 4)

Industry & RER Advocacy

  • RER and broad housing coalitions have been making the same supply-focused case for weeks. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 9 | Jan. 16Jan. 23 | Feb. 27)
  • “On one hand, it undermines the whole idea of the [ROAD to Housing Act] if the purported idea of [the bill] was to help us build more housing and reduce barriers to building, and then you create this legal structure that makes it effectively impossible to build and finance in this very important sector,” said Sharon Wilson Géno, president of National Multifamily Housing Council. (PoliticoPro, March 4)
  • RER member Sean Dobson ( Chairman, CEO and CIO, Amherst) echoed that argument in an op-ed this week, that restricting single-family rental supply does not erase the financial barriers that keep many households from buying; it simply reduces housing options for families who are structurally constrained from homeownership by income, credit, and down payment hurdles. (Fortune, March 5)
  • In a March 5 coalition letter to Senate leaders and the Banking Committee, RER and dozens of national housing organizations warned that Section 901, as drafted, “would effectively eliminate the production of Build-to-Rent (BTR) housing.” (Letter, March 5) (Bisnow, March 5 | Politico, March 5)
  • “It doesn’t prohibit it, but it greatly discourages build-to-rent activities,” RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer told Bisnow in an interview Friday. (Bisnow, March 6)
  • “These projects take years to get through the development process, the zoning process, the funding process,” he added. “Requiring any private business or citizen to sell any kind of asset in a certain time is highly unusual, and I think a lot of people would say it’s unconstitutional.”
  • The letter notes that the bill’s seven-year disposition rule would chill investment across the BTR supply chain, even with nominal exemptions. It urges the Senate to amend the bill to fully exempt BTR housing. (PoliticoPro, March 5)
  • DeBoer also issued a statement earlier this week, following the release of the bill’s updated legislative text, “The Real Estate Roundtable supports many provisions in the ROAD to Housing Act and the Housing for the 21st Century Act, both of which take important steps toward expanding housing supply.  Expanding housing supply requires significant capital investment.  However, the institutional investor provisions under consideration in the Senate bill would be counterproductive. These provisions would discourage the capital investments that are needed to develop, redevelop, and modernize the nation’s owner-occupied and rental housing stock. In particular, the provision to force institutional owners of rental housing to sell the homes that they build within a specified 7-year timeframe would discourage investment in home construction, could actually result in rent increases in many markets, and would no doubt face substantial constitutional challenges. While much of the housing bill now before the Senate is properly focused, the institutional investor provisions should be dropped.” (RER Statement, March 4)

What’s Next

  • The Senate bill still must clear final passage and be reconciled with the House before it can reach the president’s desk. There is speculation that a vote on final passage of the package could happen as early as next week. (PoliticoPro, March 4)

RER will continue advocating for policies that expand housing supply and protect the capital formation needed to build and preserve housing, rather than measures that risk constraining investment without solving the underlying shortage.

DOE Assumes Lead Responsibilities for ENERGY STAR

A federal agency Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) signed this week provides that the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) will assume lead responsibilities to implement the ENERGY STAR program as oversight of the effective, popular, and voluntary public-private partnership shifts from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). (E&E News, March 5)

ENERGY STAR Transition

  • DOE and EPA signed the MOA for an “orderly” transition of ENERGY STAR activities including oversight of partnership agreements, trademarks, and related IT systems and databases. (Memorandum, March 2)
  • The MOA explains that a 90-day plan will provide details regarding the agencies’ transition.
  • The MOA further explains that transition activities will be initially funded by each agency using their own funds appropriated by Congress. Federal law authorizes DOE and EPA to transfer funds “as the transition progresses.”
  • Congress provided approximately $33 million for ENERGY STAR to EPA in the FY’26 appropriations bill (H.R. 6938), signed into law on Jan. 23. This law maintains funding through Sept. 30 and preserves ENERGY STAR following prior Trump administration reports to privatize the program – or de-fund it altogether. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 9) 

Why It Matters

  • The Real Estate Roundtable’s (RER) advocacy, in collaboration with coalition partners in the real estate, manufacturing, and consumer products sectors, has long emphasized that ENERGY STAR is a federal program required by federal law. It cannot be privatized or run outside of the U.S. government by agency decree. (Roundtable Weekly, May 9, 2025)
  • For example, RER joined dozens of industry groups last year in a letter to Congress to “strongly support continuation of the non-regulatory and non-partisan ENERGY STAR program within the federal government.” (Roundtable Weekly, June 6). The multi-industry letter cites federal statutes that compel ENERGY STAR to be a program run by federal agencies—with DOE and EPA authorized to assign program responsibilities between themselves, as indicated by this week’s Memorandum of Agreement.

RER View

Tony Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.), chair of The Roundtable’s Sustainability Policy Advisory (SPAC) Committee.
Tony Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.)
  • RER has long urged the “business case” to support the ENERGY STAR program.
  • “We look forward to continuing our longstanding partnership with the federal government’s ENERGY STAR program as DOE assumes the lead implementation role,” said RER’s President & CEO Jeffrey D. DeBoer. “DOE has the data, talent, lab research, and other resources to run all facets of ENERGY STAR efficiently and effectively. Down the years, ENERGY STAR for buildings has saved families and businesses hundreds of billions of dollars in energy costs, and helps create greater capacity on the grid to boost economic growth. We are ready to roll-up-our-sleeves to evolve ENERGY STAR to support a new generation of cutting-edge buildings, plants, and consumer products.”
  • “DOE has long been a key part of the ENERGY STAR ecosystem and is ideally suited to assume the role as the program’s primary steward,” said RER’s Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC) Chair, Anthony E. Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.). “ENERGY STAR enhances profitability of buildings and establishes a voluntary reporting structure for real estate assets. It helps our industry attract investors from all over the world to the United States. ENERGY STAR works better than any other building energy ‘label’ on the market because it is grounded in quantifiable metrics and deploys standard software geared to save money on utility bills and avoid wasted energy.”
  • Malkin continued, “Real estate’s coalition with the manufacturing sector will continue to impress upon Congress and the Trump administration the critical role ENERGY STAR plays to advance America’s energy dominance and global competitiveness.”

In the coming months, RER will partner with DOE, EPA, and aligned stakeholders to accomplish a seamless and productive transition of the ENERGY STAR program.

Senate Takes Up House Housing Bill as White House Seeks Limits on Institutional Investors

President Donald Trump used his State of the Union address on Tuesday to renew his call for Congress to codify limits on large institutional investors buying additional single-family homes, as lawmakers work to merge bipartisan House and Senate housing packages into a final deal set for a vote next week. (Axios | PoliticoPro, Feb. 25)

State of Play

  • “We want homes for people, not for corporations,” Trump said as he urged Congress to make the policy permanent. (PoliticoPro, Feb. 25)
  • House Republicans met this week with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as lawmakers explore legislative language tied to the housing package. Trump and Bessent have said that any final legislation must include language banning large investors from purchasing single-family. (Reuters, Feb. 19 | PoliticoPro, Feb. 26)
  • Some lawmakers and analysts have argued that investor bans do not address the core affordability driver—a persistent housing supply shortage. Goldman Sachs estimates the U.S. would need to build up to 4 million additional homes beyond the normal pace to reduce the deficit. (CBSNews, Feb. 25 |Washington Examiner, Feb. 26)

What’s Next: Bipartisan Housing Bill Vote

  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) filed cloture Thursday on the House-passed  Housing for the 21st Century Act (H.R. 6644), setting up a Monday vote on the motion to proceed as leadership uses the House bill as the vehicle for a version of the Senate Banking Committee’s ROAD to Housing Act. (PoliticoPro, Feb. 26 |Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 13)
  • The House passed the bipartisan bill earlier this month with broad support, and the Senate advanced its bill in October. The two sides are now negotiating a final package. (PoliticoPro, Feb. 26 | Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 17)
  • Senate aides said the Senate package could include some provisions from the House’s bill, including measures to expand manufactured and affordable housing and protect borrowers. The Senate measure wouldn’t include the House version’s community banking provisions. (PoliticoPro, Feb. 26)
  • House Financial Services Chair French Hill (R-AR) welcomed Majority Leader Thune’s move but urged a final product that reflects “shared priorities of the House, Senate, and White House,” as the administration continues to press for some form of large-investor purchase restriction to be included in any final bipartisan housing deal. (Press Release, Feb. 26)

White House Proposal

  • In a memo sent to lawmakers last week, the administration proposed banning institutional investors who own more than 100 single-family homes from buying any new ones. (CNBC, Feb. 24)
  • The proposal would continue to allow build-to-rent developments, where investors construct new single-family homes specifically for rental use. (WSJ, Feb. 26)
  • Government entities and community land trusts would be exempt altogether, and the Treasury Department would retain authority to approve other transactions deemed to expand homeownership opportunities, giving regulators flexibility to avoid unintended consequences for buyers and renters.
  • Treasury’s forthcoming definitions of “large institutional investor” and “single-family home” are expected to shape scope and compliance, including what property types are captured and how thresholds are applied. (GlobeSt., Feb 26)
  • The ban would apply only to future purchases—without forcing investors to sell existing holdings—and would take effect 180 days after enactment. (CoStar, Feb. 20)

By the Numbers

  • A recent American Action Forum analysis found that large institutional investors have expanded the much-needed supply of rental homes, improved housing quality, and added liquidity in under supplied markets. (AAF Study, Feb. 12)
  • A Chandan Economics review of Census Bureau data finds individual investors—not institutions—own the largest share of U.S. single-family rentals (SFRs). The analysis draws on the Census Bureau’s 2024 Rental Housing Finance Survey (data collected June-November 2024), a comprehensive snapshot of rental-property mortgage financing. (Chandan Economics, Feb. 19 |GlobeSt., Feb. 25)

RER Advocacy

  • The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) has consistently emphasized that expanding housing supply is the most effective path to improving affordability, as research shows affordability pressures are driven primarily by supply shortages, construction costs, and mortgage ratesnot institutional ownership levels. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 9 | Jan. 16)
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer said, “Evidence shows that policy attacks on institutional investment in housing or other real estate are misguided.  Institutional investors actually expand the supply of rental homes, thus driving down rents. Their investments enable financially constrained families to move into neighborhoods that previously had few rental units, and these investments tend to improve the quality of the existing housing stock. While politically popular, restricting capital into housing will not address the housing problem.  Instead, policy should, as the bulk of the House and Senate bills do, intensely focus on expanding the supply of housing.”
  • In a Feb. 10 comment letter to House Financial Services Committee leadership, RER and national real estate trade groups cautioned against limiting institutional capital in the housing market, including SFR assets. (Comment Letter, Feb. 10 | Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 13)

New Senate Legislation Introduced

  • On Tuesday, Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), and Jeff Merkley (D-OR), and 16 other Senate Democrats introduced the American Homeownership Act. The bill would prevent companies with more than 50 single-family homes for rent from taking deductions for housing value depreciation and mortgage interest payments. Corporations would also be barred from getting federally backed mortgages. (Bill text | Bill fact sheet | Press Release, Feb. 24)
  • The bill would provide a temporary carve-out for companies building new multifamily housing or rehabilitating properties that would otherwise be uninhabitable. (CNBC, Feb. 24)
  • Edward Pinto, co-director of the AEI Housing Center at the American Enterprise Institute, said a more effective proposal would meet three specific criteria: reducing land costs, allowing homes to be built on smaller parcels, and lowering construction costs. (CBS News, Feb. 25)

RER will continue advocating for policies that expand housing supply and protect the capital formation needed to build and preserve housing—rather than measures that risk constraining investment without solving the underlying shortage.