Senate Republicans Grapple with Details of Tax and Spending Bill

With Congress back in session this week, Senate Republicans got to work on ironing out the details of their version of the budget reconciliation package. Members of the upper chamber are signaling a number of changes to the House’s bill, which could complicate Speaker Mike Johnson’s (R-LA) fragile coalition.

State of Play

  • Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) met with President Trump at the White House on Monday, initiating a series of calls from Trump to individual GOP senators to discuss their concerns for the House-passed reconciliation package. (Punchbowl News, June 4)
  • The Senate GOP caucus met Wednesday afternoon to speak about the portions of the legislation that had already been or are on the cusp of being released. Among the most contentious issues: Medicaid, the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap, and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) energy tax credits. (Politico, June 3)
  • Finance Committee member Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) is one of several GOP lawmakers who has voiced interest in adjusting the phaseouts of certain IRA energy tax credits with a more “targeted” approach to protect U.S. businesses—including real estate—that are already invested in existing projects. (NBC News, June 6)
  • Fiscal hawks Rand Paul (R-KY) and Ron Johnson (R-WI) have already expressed opposition to the bill because it doesn’t contain enough spending cuts or do enough to address budget deficits. (WSJ, June 4)

Potential SALT & Business Tax Changes

  • On Wednesday, Senate Finance Committee members met with President Trump to discuss possible changes to the tax section of the bill. During the meeting, Senators briefly touched on their intention to try to revise the House’s proposal to raise the cap on SALT deductions for individuals to $40,000. 
  • Speaking to reporters outside the White House, Majority Leader Thune said he and his colleagues “start from a position that there really isn’t a single Republican senator who cares much about the SALT issue.” Thune went on to concede that he and other GOP senators “understand that it’s about 51 and 218, so we will work with our House counterparts and with the White House.”(Politico, June 4)
  • “We are sensitive to the fact that, you know, the speaker has pretty narrow margins, and there’s only so much that he can do to keep his coalition together. At the same time it wouldn’t surprise people that the Senate would like to improve on their handiwork,” Sen. Todd Young (R-IN) told reporters. (Politico, June 4)
  • The bulk of tax writers’ Wednesday meeting with the president, however, focused on a different issue: Trump is not sold on making several proposed business tax breaks permanent, including 100 percent bonus depreciation for equipment, machinery, and nonresidential property improvements.
  • Trump told Sen. Johnson and other members of the Finance Committee that it could be better for economic growth to make the provisions temporary, providing a more immediate incentive for businesses to take advantage of them. (Politico, June 5)

Section 899

  • Another area of debate that has emerged among Senate tax writers concerns Section 899, which would impose steep retaliatory taxes—up to 50 percent—on foreign taxpayers from countries that discriminate against U.S. businesses through their own tax regimes. (Roundtable Weekly, May 30)
  • If enacted in its current form, in addition to taxing foreign companies, Section 899 could raise tax rates on passive foreign investment in the U.S. (CNBC, June 2; Kirkland and Ellis, June 5)
  • Congress’ Joint Committee on Taxation has asserted that the “retaliatory tax” could in effect lead to a decline in foreign demand for U.S. assets and lower U.S. tax revenue (Bloomberg, May 30) 
  • In the short term, however, the provision is projected to raise significant revenue—$120 billion over the first five years. (Politico, June 4) 
  • Senators are reviewing potential changes and modifications to section 899 to address concerns. “There’s a lot of nervousness about how it could be used,” Sen. James Lankford (R-OK) told reporters, indicating that Republicans “want to make sure there’s not some unintended consequences.” (Semafor, June 4)

Implications for CRE

  • Senate tax writers, thus far, have not signaled significant interest in changes to priority issues like the deductibility of property taxes (business SALT) or carried interest.
  • The Senate is considering potential Roundtable-backed improvements to the House-passed Opportunity Zone provisions, as well as reforms to the low-income housing tax credit, the new markets tax credit, and a longer extension for provisions related to bonus depreciation and business interest deductibility.
  • An RER working group is analyzing Section 899’s impact on real estate and working to ensure policymakers understand its potential unintended consequences, which could include deterring foreign investment in large-scale, capital-intensive real estate and infrastructure projects in the U.S. (Roundtable Weekly, May 30)

Looking Ahead

While a few Senate committees have already released their sections of the bill, the Senate Finance Committee is expected to share their draft of the tax portion next week. RER will continue to update its members on key changes and their impacts on the commercial real estate industry during what will surely be an eventful month in Washington as the Senate works toward passing their reconciliation package by July 4.

Senate to Debate Changes to Reconciliation Bill

With Congress back in session next week, the Senate is gearing up to take on the House’s reconciliation package and potentially make significant changes to the bill. Meanwhile, the Trump administration is expected to release further information on its FY2026 budget.

Senate to Take Up One Big Beautiful Bill Act

  • “This bill is far from over, but we are pleased the House bill maintains current law on business property and income tax deductibility, carried interest, and Section 1031 exchanges, while also improving Opportunity Zones, the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, and taxation of pass-through entities,” said Jeffrey DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable (RER). “As the Senate takes up this bill we plan to work to preserve these provisions.  We are also highly focused on eliminating the ‘retaliatory tax’ on foreign investment, as well as improving other aspects of the bill.”
  • The Senate is back in session Monday and eager to put its mark on the massive reconciliation package. The next four weeks will involve crucial tax negotiations on a variety of key provisions, including Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) energy tax incentives, state and local tax (SALT) deductions, Medicaid, and more. There are also procedural hurdles that the Senate bill must overcome.
  • Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) implored his Senate colleagues to avoid making major changes to the bill, saying, “If it wasn’t obvious for them, I wanted them to know the equilibrium that we reached is so delicate… My hope and my encouragement to them is – fine tune this product as little as possible.” (Punchbowl News, May 26)
  • Difficult compromises based on countless hours of negotiations were made to get the House bill across the finish line. If the Senate makes drastic changes, it could force negotiators back to the drawing board on certain issues and make it more difficult to meet the GOP’s goal of getting the reconciliation bill to President Trump’s desk by July 4. (Punchbowl News, May 29)

Expected Changes to the Reconciliation Bill

  • Early reports indicate that Senate leadership will seek only minor modifications to the House’s bill, rather than sweeping changes. But some senators are pushing for much more. (Punchbowl News, May 23)
  • Procedural changes: The Senate’s Byrd Rule requires that only budget-related items are included in the reconciliation process. As a result, some minor provisions could be stripped out. (Axios, May 28)
  • Tax additions: The Senate is also expected to switch the bill from a “current law” to a “current policy” baseline, allowing the Senate to permanently extend key tax cuts expiring this year. This would give Senate tax writers more space to include other tax provisions, including the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act’s (TCJA) 100 percent bonus depreciation.
  • Energy tax incentives: Multiple GOP senators have advocated for protecting the IRA energy tax incentives, including Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Thom Tillis (R-NC), who sits on the Senate Finance Committee and wants to moderate the House’s rollback of the tax credits. (Politico, May 23)
  • These modifications could include extending some tax credits that the House bill proposed eliminating, or expanding the timeline for their phase-out to ensure that the change does not strand energy projects already in progress.

Other Potential Changes

  • Medicaid cuts: Sens. Josh Hawley (R-MO), Susan Collins (R-ME), and others have taken issue with the House bill’s Medicaid cost-cutting measures, including expanded work requirements and other changes. (The Hill, May 28)
  • Deficit debate: A group of deficit hawks, including Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI), are pushing for far deeper spending cuts than the House bill proposes, and have criticized it for not sufficiently reducing the deficit. Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) also called the spending cuts in the House bill “wimpy and anemic.” (Axios, May 25)
  • Pressure from President Trump was crucial to getting deficit hawks in the House to back down from their opposition to the lower chamber’s bill. It remains to be seen whether conservatives concerned about the deficit in the Senate will put up more of a fight.
  • Debt limit: The Senate could increase the debt limit hike in the bill from $4 trillion to $5 trillion, ensuring that the next debt limit fight doesn’t happen until after the 2026 midterms. However, this proposal has also faced opposition from Sen. Rand Paul. (Politico, May 25)
  • Overall, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) has his work cut out for him in order to hammer out the differences in opinion within his caucus. He can only afford to lose three GOP senators. It will take immense effort and deft political maneuvering to meet their aggressive July 4 goal.

Looking Ahead

  • Trump’s FY2026 budget request is expected to be released next week, kicking off a renewed budget battle after the administration’s skinny budget proposed in early May received pushback from both sides of the aisle. (Reuters, May 2)

RER will continue to engage with policymakers to ensure that the commercial real estate industry has a seat at the table in the critical Senate negotiations to come.

Industry Leaders Discuss Economic Outlook, Policy Priorities, and Geopolitical Challenges at Annual Meeting

The Real Estate Roundtable’s (RER) 2025 Annual Meeting this week included discussions with public officials and industry leaders on a range of issues affecting commercial real estate, including market conditions, tax policy, the House’s recent passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, tariffs and trade, affordable housing solutions, energy policy, and evolving security threats.

Roundtable Leadership

  • RER Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head of Blackstone Real Estate, Blackstone) opened the meeting by thanking members for their consistent engagement and highlighting the significance of RER’s collaborative efforts in navigating a rapidly evolving policy landscape. (May 2025 Policy Priorities and Executive Summary)
  • During the meeting, RER members approved the nominees for its FY26 board of directors and policy advisory committee officers, which were announced by RER Nominating Committee Chair Geordy Johnson (CEO, The Johnson Group).
  • Addressing the membership, RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer emphasized RER’s ongoing commitment to enhancing member involvement through RER’s policy advisory committees and underscored the value of strategic partnerships with other national real estate organizations for proactive policy advocacy. (Meeting Agenda)

Meeting Speakers

  • The Honorable Kevin Hassett (Director, National Economic Council) presented the administration’s economic agenda, focusing on housing initiatives, factory expensing, and the outlook for growth.
  • (L-R): Hessam Nadji (President and CEO, Marcus & Millichap), Martha Gimble (Executive Director, The Budget Lab at Yale University), and Jonathan Pollack (President, Starwood Capital Group) provided macroeconomic insights, reviewed current and future CRE market trends, and spoke about challenges amidst tariff-induced uncertainty. (Hessam Nadji Presentation | Martha Gimble Presentation)
  • Anna Palmer (Founder & CEO of Punchbowl News) offered her perspective on legislative developments and negotiations, and the rise of influential figures within both political parties.

Policy Advisory Committee Meetings

  • Each of RER’s policy advisory committees met this week in conjunction with the Annual Meeting for in-depth policy discussions. The committees hosted several congressional staff and regulatory officials.

Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC) Meeting

  • SPAC Chair Anthony E. Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.), Co-Vice Chairs Ben Myers (Vice President, Sustainability, BXP) and Katie Rothenberg (Vice President, ESG, AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) led discussions on EPA’s ENERGY STAR program, grid reliability, clean energy procurement, and nuclear energy deployment. (Agenda & Speakers)

Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC)

  • TPAC Chair Josh Parker (Chairman & CEO, Ancora Group Capital), Vice Chair David Friedline (Partner, Deloitte Tax LLP), and the Committee discussed the broad range of tax proposals affecting real estate that are working their way through Congress in the budget reconciliation bill. Panelists included senior staff from the offices of the House Speaker, Ways and Means Committee, Senator Tim Scott (R-SC), and Senator Todd Young (R-IN), as well as the Treasury Department. In addition, tax experts from Baker McKenzie, Sullivan & Cromwell, and Brownstein led or moderated discussions concerning potential new taxes on foreign investors, regulatory initiatives, and Opportunity Zones.  (Agenda & Speakers)

Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC)

  • SPAC Chair Anthony E. Malkin (Chairman and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.) and Vice Chairs Ben Myers (Vice President, Sustainability, BXP) and Katie Rothenberg (VP, ESG, AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) led discussions on (Agenda & Speakers)

Joint Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee Meeting

  • D. Michael Van Konynenburg (President, Eastdil Secured) provided an overview of conditions in real estate credit and capital markets.
  • Following a national policy update from RER’S Ryan McCormick (SVP & Counsel, RER) and Chip Rodgers (SVP, RER), Research Committee Chair Spencer Levy (Global Chief Client Officer & Senior Economic Advisor, CBRE) and Darin Mellot (Vice President of Capital Markets Research, CBRE) led a discussion on the evolving post Liberation Day impact of tariffs on commercial real estate markets. 
  • Robert Rubano (Executive Vice Chairman, Head of Equity, Debt, & Structured Finance, Cushman & Wakefield) moderated a capital market roundtable with David Bouton (Co-Head of U.S. CMBS, Citigroup), Jack Gay (Senior Managing Director, Global Head of Real Estate Debt, Nuveen Real Estate), Kathryn Ogden, (Head U.S. Corporate Banking and Global Head, Real Estate Capital Partners (RECP), RBC Capital Markets), and Matt Salem (Partner, Head of RE Credit, KKR). (Agenda & Speakers)

Homeland Security Task Force (HSTF) Meeting

  • HSTF Chair Amanda S. Mason (Executive Director, Global Intelligence, Related Companies) facilitated a number of discussions on the current threat picture.  These discussions included a review of the risks to commercial facilities from lithium-ion batteries with John Frank (AXA XL Risk Consulting). The meeting also included a series of briefs from the FBI regarding the threats from terrorist and transnational criminal organizations that are directly threatening U.S. citizens and commercial facilities. These discussions included updates on the role of the cartels in violent crime, the deaths of American citizens from synthetic opioids, and the facilitation of nearly three million illegal migrant arrivals in 2024, putting U.S. communities at risk. Also addressed were the range of cyber and intelligence threats from China, targeting our critical infrastructure. (Agenda & Speakers)

RER’s 2025 Annual Report will be distributed in July. Next on RER’s FY 2025 meeting calendar is the Fall Meeting, which will take place on October 27-28 (restricted to Roundtable-level members only). 

“One Big Beautiful Bill” Moves Through to the Senate as House Republicans Unite on Trump Tax Plan

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) met his self-imposed Memorial Day deadline as dissenting factions within the caucus reached an agreement on a series of last-minute changes, culminating in a razor-thin vote (215-214) on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act early Thursday morning. The budget reconciliation measure—which has wide implications for CRE—now goes to the Senate, where a similar tug of war could play out. (Ways & Means Press Release, May 22)

State of Play

  • The House Budget Committee voted late Sunday night to advance President Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act after several GOP hard-liners on the Committee blocked the measure from moving forward last Friday. (ABC News, May 19)
  • President Trump traveled to Capitol Hill Tuesday morning to deliver a message to House Republicans impeding the massive bill, a critical part of his domestic agenda: stop fighting and get it done as soon as possible. (NBC News, May 20)
  • The chamber took action, clearing the sprawling package in an early-morning vote Thursday after days of marathon meetings, intense negotiations that spanned both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue, and a series of swift changes to the bill, which were crucial in coalescing Republicans around the measure. (The Hill, May 22)
  • House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-MO) said that he’s been working “hand in glove” with Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) and Senate Finance Committee Chair Mike Crapo (R-ID) on the tax package and had crafted it intentionally so it could survive the Senate’s rules. “I think 90 to 95 percent of the bill is going to be pretty much very similar,” he said previously. (Bloomberg, May 22)

Implications for CRE

  • The legislation includes an extension of the 2017 tax cuts, while maintaining the full deductibility of state and local business property tax deductions (also known as “Business SALT”) and preserving the current treatment of carried interest, two key priorities for The Roundtable in the current tax negotiations.
  • Additionally, the pass-through deduction under Section 199A would increase from 20 percent to 23 percent for qualifying income, including REIT dividends and the real estate operating income of partnerships and other pass-through entities. A late addition to the bill will allow REITs greater flexibility in their use of taxable REIT subsidiaries. (The Hill, May 21)
  • The bill extends the Opportunity Zone (OZ) tax incentives through 2033, with several updated eligibility criteria and new benefits for rural areas. This legislation also calls for a new round of OZ designations by state governors. (Mortgage Point, May 22)
  • Other positive developments include an expansion of the low-income housing tax credit and the reinstatement of 100 percent expensing for qualifying leasehold and nonresidential property improvements.
  • Now, the Senate will debate and craft its version of the bill, which it aims to pass by July 4. (The Hill, May 21; CNBC, May 22)

The Roundtable’s Position

  • RER expressed support for the House’s budget reconciliation measure. The extension of TCJA policies, preservation of property tax deductibility, continued capital gains treatment for carried interest, increased investment in affordable housing, and enhanced pass-through deduction are all positive developments. 
  • “Taken as a whole, the tax proposals in the Chairman’s amendment will spur needed investment in our nation’s housing supply, strengthen urban and rural communities, and grow the broader economy to the benefit of all Americans,” said RER President and CEO Jeff DeBoer in a recent statement following the House Ways and Means Committee’s bill markup last week.

What’s Next       

  • The action on the tax and fiscal legislation now shifts to the U.S Senate where Republicans are operating under similar tight margins.
  • Senate Republican leaders have not yet decided whether they will mark up the reconciliation bill in the various committees of jurisdiction. Finance Chairman Crapo could bring a substitute amendment straight to the Senate floor sometime in June.

RER will work to ensure that these hard-fought victories are protected in any final tax package.

House Ways and Means Advances GOP Tax Bill

The House Ways and Means Committee this week passed a comprehensive tax package that preserves critical features of current law while extending and improving real estate provisions supported by The Real Estate Roundtable. However, the legislation encountered a substantial setback Friday morning, when the House Budget Committee rejected the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” which combined the work of the Ways and Means and other House committees. (Axios, May 16)

“Taken as a whole, the tax proposals in the Chairman’s amendment will spur needed investment in our nation’s housing supply, strengthen urban and rural communities, and grow the broader economy to the benefit of all Americans,” said Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer.  (Read DeBoer’s full statement here)

State of Play

  • The House Budget Committee rejected the bill in a 16-21 vote after GOP leadership failed to secure sufficient support from several Republican holdouts. (Axios, May 16)
  • President Trump on Friday urged Republicans to fall in line and support the massive reconciliation package amid sparring among members on the Hill over various provisions. “Republicans MUST UNITE behind, ‘THE ONE, BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL!’” Trump posted on Truth Social.
  • House GOP leaders plan to continue private talks with the reluctant Republicans and the White House over the weekend in hopes of resurrecting the package next week. (Politico, May 16)

What’s In and Out for CRE

  • As currently drafted, the House legislation maintains the full deductibility of state and local business-related property taxes.
  • Carried interest, capital gains, like-kind exchanges, and general cost recovery periods for commercial real estate would remain unchanged.
  • Section 199A Deduction Boost: The legislation permanently increases the pass-through business income deduction from 20% to 23%, preserving eligibility for REIT dividends and effectively lowering the maximum tax rate on qualifying income to 28.49%.
  • 100% Bonus Depreciation: The Ways and Means Committee is proposing to reinstate 100% bonus depreciation for five years (2025–2030), incentivizing investments and upgrades in nonresidential properties.
  • Opportunity Zones: The legislation extends the Opportunity Zone tax incentives through 2033 and would set aside 33% of new OZ designations for rural areas.
  • Low-Income Housing Tax Credit: The legislation increases the allocation of low-income housing credits by 12.5% for four years and permanently reduces the threshold of private activity bond financing necessary for projects to otherwise qualify for credits.
  • Energy Tax Incentives: The Ways and Means legislation repeals or phases out tax incentives such as the section 48 tax credit for solar panel and other clean energy investments, the 45L tax credit for new home construction, and the section 30C tax credit for EV recharging stations.  (See more in Energy story below
  • Factory Expensing: Other tax changes would temporarily allow newly constructed manufacturing, agricultural and refining properties to qualify for 100% expensing.

Roundtable Advocacy

  • RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer provided insights on these developments during a fireside chat at the ULI Spring Meeting in Denver this week. DeBoer discussed the current political climate, policy implications for commercial real estate, and outlined both emerging risks and opportunities shaping the industry’s future.

Housing News

  • The Ways and Means Committee’s provisions to expand the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) align with components of the Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act (AHCIA).  (Affordable Housing Finance, May 16) (RW, May 2)
  • The House Financial Services Subcommittee on Housing and Insurance held a hearing this week titled, “Expanding Choice and Increasing Supply: Housing Innovation in America,” focused on how modern construction technologies could increase moderate-income housing supply while identifying regulatory and financing barriers that limit broader adoption.
  • Lawmakers and witnesses explored alternative housing solutions such as manufactured housing, modular construction, and 3-D printed homes as ways to help close the housing supply gap.  (Watch Hearing, May 14)

Looking Ahead

  • House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-MO) expressed interest in passing a separate bipartisan tax package by the end of the year, at an appearance at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C. earlier this week. This package would include expiring tax provisions and healthcare-related items.
  • “I would love to work with Sen. Wyden, Chairman Crapo, ranking member Neal in trying to craft a bipartisan bill before the end of the year, because there’s a lot of tax provisions that I really care about that are expiring, or have expired, that are truly, truly bipartisan,” said Smith. (PoliticoPro, May 15)
  • Senate Finance Committee Chair Mike Crapo (R-ID) and fellow panel member Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT) are pushing to extend business tax cuts beyond the expiration set by Ways and Means, the latest change the Senate wants to make to the bill. (Reuters, May 16)

With the Budget Committee setback, the immediate future of the tax package is uncertain. But the provisions are certain to change further as the debate shifts to the Senate.

Roundtable Statement on the House Ways and Means Committee Reconciliation Mark-Up

Statement by Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey D. DeBoer

(WASHINGTON, D.C.) — “The Real Estate Roundtable supports Chairman Smith’s budget reconciliation substitute amendment. Taken as a whole, the tax proposals in the Chairman’s amendment will spur needed investment in our nation’s housing supply, strengthen urban and rural communities, and grow the broader economy to the benefit of all Americans.

Importantly, the amendment preserves the deductibility of business-related state and local property tax payments. It ensures that the long-term capital gains rate continues to reward entrepreneurial risk-taking by recognizing the value of sweat equity, business acumen, and other non-cash risks that taxpayers assume in order to build businesses and create jobs, and the amendment expands tax incentives for badly needed new housing construction. The amendment also recognizes the vital role that non-corporate businesses play in the nation’s economy.

When combined with spending reductions expected in the overall reconciliation bill, the pro-growth tax measures in the amendment can be expected to lessen the immediate impact on our nation’s budget deficit and begin to address our country’s long term structural, fiscal challenges.”

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GOP Races to Shape Reconciliation Bill

The House returned this week from recess to begin critical markups, racing against Speaker Mike Johnson’s Memorial Day goal. With just over three weeks until the Memorial Day target for President Donald Trump’s ambitious reconciliation bill, GOP lawmakers are navigating contentious policy debates on tax, Medicaid, energy incentives, and spending cuts.  (Politico, May 1)

State of Play

  • On Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent held another “Big Six” meeting with Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA), Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), Senate Finance Chair Mike Crapo (R-ID), House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-MO), and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett to discuss the GOP’s tax provisions in the bill.
  • Although Speaker Johnson is adamant about his Memorial Day goal, Secretary Bessent indicated July 4 might be the more practical timeline.
  • After a White House meeting between President Trump, Speaker Johnson, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) and key committee chairs, the GOP leadership decided to delay markups next week in the House Energy and Commerce, Ways and Means and Agriculture committees. (Punchbowl News, May 2)
  • The House Financial Services Committee voted along party lines Wednesday to approve its portion of the reconciliation package, with Chair French Hill (R-AR) expecting savings to surpass the $1 billion in cuts mandated by the congressional budget resolution.

Tax Policy

  • Business SALT: The Roundtable (RER) is still focusing heavily on preserving the full deductibility of business-related property taxes, as lawmakers look for ways to pay for new tax provisions.
  • Through meetings, outreach, and aggressive advocacy efforts, RER and the real estate industry continue to urge lawmakers to reject a revenue proposal to limit the deductibility of state and local business-related property taxes as part of the tax bill.  The proposal could have a devastating impact on property values, rents, the health of the financial system, local communities, and consumer prices.
  • A cap on the deductibility of property taxes paid by U.S. businesses could have devastating consequences for commercial real estate owners, developers, and investors nationwide, reversing the benefits of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and raising effective tax rates on real estate to 1970s-era levels near 50%.  (RW, April 11) 
  • SALT: House Republicans left a high-stakes meeting with Speaker Mike Johnson on Wednesday without resolving their long-running internal dispute over the $10,000 SALT deduction cap.
  • Bonus Depreciation: President Trump said on Wednesday that Republicans are going to restore bonus deprecation for only four years. “Our big, beautiful bill, we may name it that actually, will include 100 percent expensing retroactive to January 20,” And we’re gonna make that expensing for a four-year-period at a full 100 percent.” (PoliticoPro, April 30)
  • The TCJA allowed businesses to fully deduct the costs of equipment and machinery, but bonus depreciation began phasing out in 2023, decreasing 20 percent annually and fully expiring at the end of 2025.

Carried Interest

  • The House Ways and Means Committee has privately indicated it’s not inclined to close the so-called carried interest loophole in the GOP’s sweeping tax package, though conversations are still ongoing. (PoliticoPro, April 29)
  • When asked about the proposal at a press conference, Speaker Johnson said that he didn’t want to get out front of the Ways and Means Committee but that “we’ve heard from interest groups around the country, and we want to do right by them.” (PoliticoPro, April 29)
  • Rep. Hill told Politico’s Morning Money last week that the policy “is a major source of economic growth, jobs, that impacts every community in the country — it’s not a loophole.” (Politico, May 1)
  • Since carried interest and its tax treatment first emerged as a controversial political issue in 2007, RER has consistently opposed legislative proposals to tax all carried interest at ordinary income rates.
  • RER’s Ryan McCormick told Bloomberg this week that taxing real estate investors’ “sweat equity” at higher income rates would hit projects in low-income and high-risk areas hardest. He added that, small real estate entrepreneurs take on significant risk when developing low-income areas, and these investors face similar risks as long-term equity holders and should be taxed at the 20 percent capital gains rate—a point he said has resonated with lawmakers. (Bloomberg, April 29)

IRA Energy Tax Credits

  • As the House Ways and Means Committee, prepares to markup its portion of the reconciliation bill in the coming weeks, House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-MO) has said the fate of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is one of a few sticking points that the committee still has to figure out. (PoliticoPro, May 1)
  • Internal party divisions persist, highlighted by recent opposing letters from GOP lawmakers. Yesterday, Chair Smith received two letters from opposing House Republicans arguing their cases for full repeal of all energy tax credits under the IRA and preservation of the law.
  • The coalition of 26 House Republicans is urging GOP leaders to preserve electricity tax credits and protect the IRA’s transferability provision, which allows developers to finance clean energy projects by selling their tax credits. (PoliticoPro, May 2)
  • Nothing is decided on the IRA,” said Rep. Vern Buchanan (R-FL), the number two Republican on Ways and Means. “The chips are on the table and a lot of that is going to happen next week.” (PoliticoPro, May 2)
  • In recent weeks, several Senate and House Republicans have written to leadership expressing their support for maintaining energy incentives that benefit both traditional and renewable energy sectors, and urging a more selective approach to scaling back the IRA’s tax provisions. (RW, April 25)

Challenges Ahead

  • The Energy and Commerce Committee faces internal GOP friction over Medicaid reductions, balancing fiscal hawks demanding significant cuts against moderates worried about political fallout. (Politico, May 1)
  • Majority Leader Thune (R-SD) highlighted the looming debt ceiling as a “hard deadline,” adding pressure to lawmakers juggling complex fiscal decisions.
  • Upcoming Treasury forecasts on the debt ceiling “X-date” could further adjust legislative schedules, as lawmakers await crucial financial projections.
  • Both House and Senate Republicans want to raise the debt limit in a budget reconciliation measure, something that President Trump has called for as well. (PoliticoPro, April 29)

White House Releases Budget

  • The White House on Friday released President Trump’s fiscal year 2026 budget request, outlining $163 billion in proposed reductions to federal spending that would start on October 1. (WSJ, May 2)
  • While presidential budgets outline an administration’s policy priorities, the figures rarely reflect the final appropriations determined by Congress. (Axios, May 2)
  • The FY2026 budget is expected to build on cuts already implemented by President Trump and adviser Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency—most notably, reductions in the federal workforce. (AP News, May 2) The Trump proposal is already running into early resistance on Capitol Hill, including from Republicans. (Politico, May 2)
  • As reconciliation efforts progress, balancing the administration’s budgetary goals with legislative feasibility will be a challenge.

RER will continue to monitor developments closely as Congress advances a package that could have far-reaching implications for commercial real estate, business taxation, and economic growth.

Senate Budget Deal Advances with Trump Support, Tax Policy in Focus

This week saw a major announcement from President Trump on sweeping new tariffs and movement in Congress as the Senate advances a compromise budget resolution, with big implications for tax and spending cuts.

Budget Resolution Moves Forward

  • During his tariff announcement, President Trump announced his “complete and total support” for a compromise budget resolution released on Wednesday. The statement came after Senate Budget Committee Chair Lindsey Graham (R-SC) unveiled the updated resolution, paving the way for a vote later this week. (Punchbowl News, April 3)

  • Trump’s public support for the budget resolution was the result of behind-the-scenes negotiations with Senate leadership to move the reconciliation process forward.
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) and others in the administration brought the meeting together to alleviate the concerns of skeptical deficit hawks who believed the Senate’s budget resolution didn’t do enough to cut spending. (Punchbowl News, April 3)

  • After receiving assurances from Trump about his support for large-scale deficit reductions, Senators John Kennedy (R-LA) and Ron Johnson (R-WI) seemed to get on board with the compromise budget resolution. With key holdouts resolved, Majority Leader Thune appears to have the votes needed to get the resolution adopted. (CNN, April 2)

  • The budget resolution includes separate spending cut instructions for the House and Senate. While House committees are instructed to find $1.5 trillion in spending cuts, the Senate instructions only call for $4 billion. Senate GOP leaders indicate that they still plan to target $1.5 to $2 trillion in spending cuts, giving them greater flexibility but punting lingering issues down the road. (Politico, April 3)

  • A “vote-a-rama” on the budget resolution is expected to begin Friday evening, with final adoption anticipated early Saturday. (Politico, April 2)

Tax Policy Implications

  • The compromise budget resolution incorporates a “current policy baseline” approach that allows the 2017 tax cuts to be permanently extended without needing to offset roughly $4 trillion in costs.

  • The Senate version also authorizes $1.5 trillion in additional tax relief beyond making the tax cuts permanent, allowing tax writers to include other key provisions that business advocates are asking for.

  • The current policy baseline was another sticking point in the Senate resolution that has been punted to later in the process. Senate GOP leadership has opted to assert that the Budget Committee Chair has the authority to choose the baseline used in reconciliation. (Axios, April 1)

  • While this decision allows the compromise budget resolution to move forward, the parliamentarian could still rule on the issue later on. If the parliamentarian rules against the current policy baseline, it would dramatically change the budget resolution landscape and potentially force the GOP to enact a shorter-term extension of the 2017 tax cuts, rather than making them permanent.

  • The current policy baseline also has political implications. Responding to the Senate resolution, House Budget Committee Chair Jodey Arrington (R-TX) and other House tax writers expressed concern that the Senate budget resolution could add as much as $5.3 trillion to the debt. (Politico, April 2)

  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) was more optimistic about the compromise budget resolution and the inclusion of the current policy baseline, saying, “We’re in the consensus-building business here… So we’ll have to socialize this with our members and see. Look, I think there’s a large number of House Republicans who expected that would be the final outcome… so it’s not a big surprise.” (Punchbowl News, April 3)

  • In a conversation with Punchbowl News this week, Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee French Hill (R-AR) emphasized that President Trump and House and Senate GOP leaders are united on the urgency to get the reconciliation package done.

  • Rep. Hill also strongly defended the current tax treatment of carried interest. “It’s not a loophole,” he said, calling it an “important component for long-term finance across the country” for many businesses, including commercial real estate, venture capital and energy. (Punchbowl News, April 3)

Looking Ahead
The coming weeks are a critical time for the administration and congressional leaders on key issues, including trade and tax policy. RER will continue to engage with policymakers to advocate for pro-growth policies that support investment, job creation and healthy real estate markets.

Roundtable Encourages Lawmakers to Extend and Enhance Opportunity Zone Incentives

The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) wrote to the sponsors of the Opportunity Zone tax incentives encouraging them to extend and improve the tax benefits, which have successfully mobilized private investment in historically underserved communities. The letter to Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) and Representative Mike Kelly (R-PA) emphasizes the need for a long-term extension and targeted reforms to maximize OZs’ economic impact. (Letter)

CRE Impact

  • Since their enactment in 2017, OZs have spurred billions in private investment to revitalize distressed communities, finance affordable housing, and create jobs.
  • 72% of U.S. counties contain at least one OZ. By the end of 2022, the OZ tax incentives had helped mobilize $84.7 billion in investment for low-income areas. More recent estimates suggest OZs have attracted over $120 billion in capital. (Letter)
  • RER members have leveraged OZ funding to develop affordable housing, retail centers, office buildings, and life sciences facilities.

Roundtable Policy Recommendations

Under current law, the OZ tax benefits are phasing down and will expire altogether for new investments made after December 31, 2026. First and foremost, RER is advocating for a long-term extension of OZ tax benefits to spur continued investment and provide certainty to the private sector. Additional recommendations include: provide certainty to the private sector. Additional recommendations include:

  • Removing limitations on the type of capital eligible for investment in opportunity funds to allow a broader range of capital to flow into OZ investments;
  • Adding a new incentive for commercial-to-residential conversions to address housing shortages;
  • Establishing a rolling deferral period for new OZ investments to sustain long-term interest;
  • Improving the OZ working capital safe harbor to accommodate large-scale real estate developments;
  • Modifying the substantial improvement threshold to encourage redevelopment of vacant properties; and
  • Creating reporting and transparency requirements to track OZ impacts more effectively.

What’s Next

  • As Congress considers major tax legislation in 2025, long-term OZ reforms should be a priority to unlock additional private capital and sustain revitalization efforts in low-income communities.
  • Next week, HUD Secretary Scott Turner, an outspoken advocate for the OZ program will be a speaker at our Spring Roundtable Meeting. His recent tour of Philadelphia’s OZs showcased the transformative impact of public-private partnerships in revitalizing distressed areas. (Fox News, March 30)

RER will continue engaging with lawmakers to advance these recommendations and ensure Opportunity Zones remain a powerful tool for economic development.

Lawmakers Weigh Tax Priorities as Roundtable Emphasizes Need to Protect Deductibility of Property Taxes

Congress returned to Capitol Hill this week facing a tight window to deliver on a range of policy priorities ahead of its April recess. As discussions intensify, Roundtable advocacy efforts continue to focus on avoiding harmful limitation on the deductibility of state and local business-related property taxes. (Punchbowl News, March 28)

Tax Talks

  • Congressional Republicans are navigating a range of considerations amid pressure from the White House to enact its tax agenda and from conservatives mindful of the deficit. (WSJ, March 26)
  • If Senate Republicans succeed in using the baseline strategy, it would significantly alter the final instructions for the House and Senate tax committees.
  • Under this approach, extending or making permanent many provisions from the 2017 tax cuts would effectively be cost-free. However, GOP deficit hawks may still need offsets for other elements of the tax package.
  • Business SALT” and potential restrictions on the deductibility of state and local property taxes as a possible revenue offset for the tax bill. (WSJ, March 25)
  • State and local property taxes represent 40 percent of the operating costs of U.S. commercial real estate, a greater expense than utilities, maintenance and insurance costs combined. This tax change could reverse the benefits of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and Section 199A, potentially raising effective tax rates to 1970s-era levels near 50%. (Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 28; March 14
  • RER continues to lead advocacy efforts surrounding business SALT. RER members and staff are actively engaging with Congressional leaders on Capitol Hill, and educating lawmakers on the potentially devastating impacts of the proposals under consideration.
  • Earlier this month, RER and sixteen other national real estate organizations wrote to members of the House Ways and Means and Senate Finance Committees urging them to oppose any proposal that would cap or eliminate the deductibility of state and local business property taxes.  (Roundtable Weekly, March 14) (BisNow, March 13)
  • RER members are proactively contacting congressional offices, reinforcing opposition to any legislation that would restrict or eliminate deductions for state and local business property taxes.
  • All RER members are strongly encouraged to amplify this message to their representatives in Congress. Read more here.

State of Play – Budget

  • Congressional Republicans are grappling with how to pay for President Donald Trump’s multi-trillion-dollar tax-cut and immigration reform agenda. (Reuters, March 27)
  • With GOP lawmakers eager to finalize a budget framework for the planned megabill, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) are signaling that they will move forward on the fiscal blueprint without first resolving major disputes over the offsets needed to extend Trump’ s 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). (Politico, March 26)
  • Meanwhile, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has projected that the U.S. government may reach its statutory debt ceiling by August or September unless Congress and the president agree to raise or suspend the borrowing limit.
  • Despite ongoing disagreements, an area of consensus has emerged: Speaker Johnson and Leader Thune are aligning around including a debt limit increase in the budget package—a move Senate Republicans had previously resisted. (Politico, March 26)
  • Failure to act could lead to a default on debt, risking economic stability, market volatility and lower property values. (AP, March 26)

Both chambers are targeting the week of April 7 to finalize the budget resolution, which would enable the reconciliation process needed to advance their legislative agenda in the months ahead.